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Presley faces uphill climb to upset Reeves in Mississippi gubernatorial race | Mississippi

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www.thecentersquare.com – By Steve Wilson | The Center Square – 2023-05-18 13:20:00

(The Center Square) — The biggest question in the upcoming Mississippi governor's race is whether Democrat Brandon Presley can pull off an upset in November over incumbent Republican Tate Reeves.

Presley, who serves as the Northern District Public Service Commissioner, faces two big obstacles to becoming the first Democratic governor to win the office since 1999.

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One of those is name recognition. According to a Mason-Dixon poll of 625 likely voters with a margin of error of 4% commissioned by the in March, 95% of respondents were familiar with Reeves, while only 63% knew Presley.

A Siena College Research Institute poll commissioned by Mississippi of 783 registered voters with a margin of error of 4.3% a month later didn't show any major improvement, as 64% of respondents said they didn't know that much about him.

The other problem beside name recognition for Presley is a lack of money as the challenger. One area where Reeves excels is fundraising, as he amassed a campaign fund of $9 million according to his latest filing.

While Presley has done well, taking in $1.4 million since the start of the year, he only has $1.6 million in his campaign account, a huge disparity to overcome.

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Glenn Antizzo, a professor of political science at Mississippi College, says that lack of name recognition could be costly for Presley in a number of ways.

“I know he doesn't have a whole lot of money,” Antizzo said. “But he has to be careful not to let the GOP basically create the narrative around him because they have a much bigger war chest, and define who he is before he even gets a chance to say, you know, ‘Hi, my name is Brandon Presley.'”

Despite the lack of name recognition, Reeves' unfavorability ratings in both polls might trend to a closer race. In the Mason-Dixon poll, 56% of respondents had an unfavorable or neutral view of the governor while it was 57% that had an unfavorable or didn't know enough to say rating.

Antizzo says the nation's trend toward tribal, overly-partisan is definitely part of the equation in the Magnolia State. He says that might Reeves overcome his sizable unfavorability ratings in polls with GOP voters who dislike him.

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“That pretty much everybody wants to win, wants their team to win and wants the other team to lose,” Antizzo said. “And I think at the end of the day, a lot of the people who probably don't like Reeves but are more on the conservative side are gonna hold their nose and vote for him anyway.”

There are factors from Reeves' 2019 victory that won't be in play November.

Reeves had to fend off a bruising primary from former state Supreme Court Justice Bill Waller Jr. that he defeated by a 54.1% to 45.9% vote in the GOP primary.

This time, he has no well-funded, serious challenger. Another factor in 2019 being such a close race was the entrance into the field of the Democrats' last remaining statewide officeholder.

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Former Democratic state Jim Hood had much better name recognition (only 2% of respondents in a 2019 Mason-Dixon poll didn't know who he was) than Presley. He was unable to pull off perhaps the Democrats' best chance of turning the governor's mansion blue.

Reeves won with 51.9% of the vote in that race.

Where Hood faltered was his home area of northeast Mississippi, a once-traditional Democrat stronghold that is also home to Presley. In the nine counties in the northeast corner of the state, Hood only managed more than 40% of the vote in one of them, Lee County (). The rest went for Reeves by huge margins.

Another area where Reeves dominated was in the six coastal counties. Hood only managed to eclipse 40% of the vote in , with Reeves rolling up huge victories elsewhere.

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Antizzo says that the will likely try to tie the populist Presley, who refers to himself as a proud “New Deal Democrat” to the national Democratic Party. Former President Donald Trump carried Mississippi with 57.6% of the vote in the 2020 election.

“He's (Presley) a traditional Mississippi Democrat, just slightly left of center,” Antizzo said. “But as you could tell from the governor's announcement speech, he was already starting down that road of framing Presley as you know, some AOC clone.”

AOC is the acronym given to U.S. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-NY.

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The Center Square

Mississippi unemployment rate dropped slightly in March | Mississippi

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www.thecentersquare.com – By Steve Wilson | – 2024-04-25 13:44:00

(The Center Square) – The unemployment rate in Mississippi in March dropped slightly to 3%, but the 's labor force participation rate continues to be one of the nation's worst.

That's down from February's 3.1%.

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The Mississippi Department of Employment Security's monthly workforce report shows a gain of 10,000 non-farm for the year to date to the same time period last year. Compared to March 2023, the state's workforce expanded by 6,300 jobs, going from 1.17 million employed to 1.18 million.

Neighboring states Arkansas (3.5%), Tennessee (3.2%) and (4.4%) were not much different. North Dakota had the nation's lowest unemployment rate at 2%.

Workforce participation rate for March was 53.7%, holding steady from February. The national rate is 62.7%.

Biggest gaining job sectors in March included construction (up 2.2% from last March) and leisure and hospitality (up 2%). 

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Among the state's metropolitan , the Coast had a job gain of 1.4% or 2,300 newly employed in March compared to the same time last year. The Hattiesburg area had no job gains in March thanks to a loss of 100 manufacturing jobs, while the metro area's job gain was a negligible 0.3% while adding 900 positions.  

Initial unemployment claims were 4,242 in March, down from 5,004 in March 2023. Continuing gains increased to 27,128 in March to 23,644 in March 2023.

The state's leading employers include trade, transportation and utilities (244,900 workers or 20.6% of the state's workforce), (241,000 or 20.3%), education and services (155,900 or 13.1%), manufacturing (144,600 or 12.2%) and leisure and hospitality (135,500 or 11.4%). 

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Mississippi’s March tax revenues exceeded pre-session estimates | Mississippi

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www.thecentersquare.com – By Steve Wilson | – 2024-04-19 10:07:00

(The Center Square) — Tax revenues for March in Mississippi were up nearly 17% over the pre- estimate, as an additional $87 million was collected.

The report by the Legislative Budget Office showed that tax revenues for the fiscal year, which will end June 30, were up 3.51% with estimates, adding $178.9 million in revenue to the 's balance sheet and 0.03% above the collections at this point last year. The fiscal 2024 estimate is $7.52

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TCS - March Fiscal 2024 Mississippi graph

Ten-year historical total revenue collections and by tax type graphs issued by the Mississippi Legislative Budget Office. 

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As for the year to date, sales tax revenues (nearly $2.1 billion) were up 3.4%, gaining an additional $68.9 million over the year before, when $2.03 billion was collected. 

Use of e-commerce in Mississippi continues to grow, as revenues from the state's 7% use tax on all out-of-state sales grew 3.58% compared to the same time last year. In fiscal 2023, those revenues were $293.9 million, compared to $304.4 million this year, an increase of $10.5 million.

With recent income tax cuts passed by lawmakers, the state's personal income revenues continue to plummet, down 10.07% compared to the year before. The state took in $1.65 billion in 2023 compared to $1.49 billion this year, a reduction of $166.6 million.

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Corporate income tax collections were also down compared to the same period last year, falling 5.01%. In fiscal 2023, the state collected $569.5 million compared to $540.9 million this year, a decrease of $28.5 million.

Tobacco and beer taxes and revenue from the state's distribution of wine and liquor were also down slightly (0.59%) compared to the same period last year. Last year, the state collected $194.7 million while collecting $193.6 million this year, a decrease of $1.14 million. 

Gaming tax revenues were also down by 5.3%. In fiscal 2023 up to March, the state collected $121.6 million, compared to $115.2 million, a drop of $6.44 million.

Tax revenue from the state's program also took a plunge, down 13.23% compared to the year before. In fiscal 2023, the program took in $7.43 million compared to $6.44 million this year, a decrease of $982,868.

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Six Southern governors push back against UAW unionization efforts at auto plant | National

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www.thecentersquare.com – By Jon Styf | – 2024-04-16 14:07:00

(The Center Square) – Tennessee Gov. Bill Lee joined five other governors in opposing the United Auto Workers' unionization campaign with a vote this of Chattanooga Volkswagen autoworkers on whether to unionize.

Lee is joined by Alabama Gov. Kay , Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp, Mississippi Gov. Tate Reeves, South Carolina Gov. Henry McMaster and Gov. Greg Abbott against what they call misinformation from the UAW.

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“The reality is companies have choices when it to where to invest and bring and ,” Lee and the governors wrote. “We have worked tirelessly on behalf of our constituents to bring good-paying jobs to our states. These jobs have become part of the fabric of the automotive manufacturing industry. Unionization would certainly put our states' jobs in jeopardy – in fact, in this year already, all of the UAW automakers have announced layoffs.”

Tennessee Senate Democratic Caucus Chairwoman London Lamar, on the other hand, offered her of the Chattanooga workers and UAW, saying that Lee has a history of “anti-worker” legislation such as a removal of automatic Tennessee Education Association deduction options from Tennessee teacher paychecks and an incentive restriction for businesses that allow card check union elections.

“Unlike Tennessee's governor, we applaud Volkswagen workers for engaging in the democratic and we would welcome the UAW's expansion in Chattanooga,” Lamar said in a statement. “We aren't surprised to see Gov. Bill Lee join with other anti-union states to tip the scales against workers. Lee, who inherited a company that made him a millionaire, has signed more anti-worker laws than any governor in Tennessee history.”

Lee and the governors, however, believe a vote to unionize would jeopardize those auto manufacturing plants' future.

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“In America, we respect our workforce and we do not need to pay a third party to tell us who can pick up a box or flip a switch,” the governors said. “No one wants to hear this, but it's the ugly reality. We've seen it play out this way every single time a foreign automaker plant has been unionized; not one of those plants remains in operation. And we are seeing it in the fallout of the Detroit Three strike with those automakers rethinking investments and cutting jobs. Putting businesses in our states in that position is the last thing we want to do.”

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