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Why people tend to believe UFOs are extraterrestrial

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Why people tend to believe UFOs are extraterrestrial

Photos claiming to be UFO evidence are often doctored or otherwise ambiguous.
Ray Massey/The Image Bank via Getty Images

Barry Markovsky, University of South Carolina

Most of us still call them UFOs – unidentified flying objects. NASA recently adopted the term “unidentified anomalous phenomena,” or UAP. Either way, every few years popular claims resurface that these things are not of our world, or that the U.S. government has some stored away.

I'm a sociologist who focuses on the interplay between individuals and groups, especially concerning shared beliefs and misconceptions. As for why UFOs and their alleged occupants enthrall the public, I've found that normal human perceptual and social processes explain UFO buzz as much as anything up in the sky.

Historical context

Like political scandals and high-waisted jeans, UFOs trend in and out of collective awareness but never fully disappear. Thirty years of polling find that 25%-50% of surveyed Americans believe at least some UFOs are alien spacecraft. in the U.S., over 100 million adults think our galactic neighbors pay us visits.

It wasn't always so. Linking objects in the sky with visiting extraterrestrials has risen in popularity only in the past 75 years. Some of this is probably market-driven. Early UFO stories boosted newspaper and magazine sales, and today they are reliable clickbait online.

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In 1980, a popular book called “The Roswell Incident” by Charles Berlitz and William L. Moore described an alleged flying saucer crash and cover-up 33 years prior near Roswell, New Mexico. The only evidence ever to emerge from this story was a small string of downed weather balloons. Nevertheless, the book coincided with a resurgence of interest in UFOs. From there, a steady stream of UFO-themed TV shows, films, and pseudo-documentaries has fueled public interest. Perhaps inevitably, conspiracy theories about government cover-ups have risen in parallel.

Some UFO cases inevitably remain unresolved. But despite the growing interest, multiple investigations have found no evidence that UFOs are of extraterrestrial origin – other than the occasional meteor or misidentification of Venus.

But the U.S. Navy's 2017 Gimbal video continues to appear in the . It shows strange objects filmed by fighter jets, often interpreted as evidence of alien spacecraft. And in June 2023, an otherwise credible Force veteran and former intelligence officer made the stunning claim that the U.S. government is storing numerous downed alien spacecraft and their dead occupants.

UFO released by the U.S. Navy, often taken as evidence of alien spaceships.

Human factors contributing to UFO beliefs

Only a small percentage of UFO believers are eyewitnesses. The rest base their opinions on eerie images and videos strewn across both social media and traditional mass media. There are astronomical and biological reasons to be skeptical of UFO claims. But less often discussed are the psychological and social factors that bring them to the popular forefront.

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Many people would love to know whether or not we're alone in the universe. But so far, the evidence on UFO origins is ambiguous at best. Being averse to ambiguity, people want answers. However, being highly motivated to find those answers can bias judgments. People are more likely to accept weak evidence or fall prey to optical illusions if they support preexisting beliefs.

For example, in the 2017 Navy , the UFO appears as a cylindrical aircraft moving rapidly over the background, rotating and darting in a manner unlike any terrestrial machine. Science writer Mick West's analysis challenged this interpretation using data displayed on the tracking screen and some basic geometry. He explained how the movements attributed to the blurry UFO are an illusion. They stem from the plane's trajectory relative to the object, the quick adjustments of the belly-mounted camera, and misperceptions based on our tendency to assume cameras and backgrounds are stationary.

found the UFO's flight characteristics were more like a bird's or a weather balloon's than an acrobatic interstellar spacecraft. But the illusion is compelling, especially with the Navy's still deeming the object unidentified.

West also addressed the former intelligence officer's claim that the U.S. government possesses crashed UFOs and dead aliens. He emphasized caution, given the whistleblower's only evidence was that people he trusted told him they'd seen the alien artifacts. West noted we've heard this sort of thing before, along with promises that the proof will soon be revealed. But it never comes.

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Anyone, including pilots and intelligence , can be socially influenced to see things that aren't there. Research shows that hearing from others who claim to have seen something extraordinary is enough to induce similar judgments. The effect is heightened when the influencers are numerous or higher in status. Even recognized experts aren't immune from misjudging unfamiliar images obtained under unusual conditions.

Group factors contributing to UFO beliefs

“Pics or it didn't happen” is a popular expression on social media. True to form, users are posting countless shaky images and videos of UFOs. Usually they're nondescript lights in the sky captured on cellphone cameras. But they can go viral on social media and reach millions of users. With no higher authority or organization propelling the content, social scientists call this a bottom-up social diffusion .

In contrast, top-down diffusion occurs when information emanates from centralized agents or organizations. In the case of UFOs, sources have included social institutions like the military, individuals with large public platforms like U.S. senators, and major media outlets like CBS.

Two circle-and-line graphics, the left showing several circles connected to one another with lines, while the right shows one circle at the top connecting several other circles
The left image shows bottom-up diffusion, in which information spreads from person to person. The right shows top-down, in which information spreads from one authority.
Barry Markovsky

Amateur organizations also promote active personal involvement for many thousands of members, the Mutual UFO Network being among the oldest and largest. But as Sharon A. Hill points out in her book “Scientifical Americans,” these groups apply questionable standards, spread misinformation and garner little respect within mainstream scientific communities.

Top-down and bottom-up diffusion processes can combine into self-reinforcing loops. Mass media spreads UFO content and piques worldwide interest in UFOs. More people aim their cameras at the skies, creating more opportunities to capture and share odd-looking content. Poorly documented UFO pics and videos spread on social media, leading media outlets to grab and republish the most intriguing. Whistleblowers emerge periodically, fanning the flames with claims of secret evidence.

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Despite the hoopla, nothing ever comes of it.

For a scientist familiar with the issues, skepticism that UFOs carry alien beings is wholly separate from the prospect of intelligent life elsewhere in the universe. Scientists engaged in the search for extraterrestrial intelligence have a number of ongoing research projects designed to detect signs of extraterrestrial . If intelligent life is out there, they'll likely be the first to know.

As astronomer Carl Sagan wrote, “The universe is a pretty big place. If it's just us, seems like an awful waste of space.”The Conversation

Barry Markovsky, Distinguished Professor Emeritus of Sociology, University of South Carolina

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Playing with the kids is important work for chimpanzee mothers

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theconversation.com – Zarin Machanda, Assistant Professor of Anthropology and Biology, Tufts – 2024-05-08 08:01:53

Chimp mothers take on the critical role of playmate with their young.

Kris Sabbi

Zarin Machanda, Tufts University and Kris Sabbi, Harvard University

Wild chimpanzees have been studied for more than 60 years, but they continue to delight and surprise observers, as we found during the summer of 2017 in Kibale National Park in Uganda.

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We were observing young chimpanzees' play to better understand how they grow up. For most group-living animals, play is an integral component of development. Beyond just fun, social play allows them to practice critical physical and social skills they will need later in life.

But that summer, we realized that it wasn't just the young ones playing. Adults were joining in on play more often than we had seen before, especially with each other. Watching fully grown female chimpanzees tickling each other and laughing surprised even the most veteran researchers of our .

Two moms with babies play with one another on small trees, and two other young chimpanzees join in.

What made this so unusual was not that adult chimpanzees were playing at all, but that they were doing it so frequently. A behavior that we typically might see once every or two became something that we saw every day and sometimes lasted for hours.

So what had changed that summer? For us, as primatologists, this is where the fun began.

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Why would adults play in the first place?

Scientists tend to think the main reason play declines with age is that individuals essentially grow out of it as they master motor and social skills and shift toward more adult behaviors. By this logic, adults only rarely play because they no longer need to. The situation is different for domesticated species like dogs because the of domestication itself preserves juvenile behaviors like playfulness into adulthood.

Neither of these reasons would explain why our adult chimpanzees were shoving babies out of the way to play with each other that summer. Instead of asking why adults would play, we had to ask what might, in other circumstances, stop them from playing. And for this, we had to go back to the basics of primatology and consider the effects of food on behavior.

The summer of 2017 was notable because there was an unusually high seasonal peak of a lipstick-red fruit called Uvariopsis, a favorite and calorie-rich chimpanzee food. During the months when these fruits are ripe and plentiful, chimpanzees spend more time hanging out together in larger groups.

This sort of energy surplus has been linked to rigorous activities, such as hunting among monkeys. We wondered whether fruit abundance might be linked to social play as well. Perhaps adult play is constrained because grown chimpanzees just don't usually have the extra time and energy to devote to it.

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Female chimpanzee sits with her infant on a tree branch.

Gathering enough food to eat is a critical task.

Kris Sabbi

When life gets in the way of play

To test this idea, we turned to the long-term records of the Kibale Chimpanzee Project, extracting nearly 4,000 observations of adult play over 10 years.

Whether tussling with a young chimpanzee or playing chase with another adult, the frequency of adult play was strongly correlated with the amount of ripe fruit in the diet in any given month. When the forest was full of high-quality food, adult chimpanzees played a lot.

But when their prized fruits dwindled, their playful sides all but disappeared – that is, except for mothers.

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A surprising sex difference

Among chimpanzees, males are much more social than females. Males invest a lot of time developing friendships, and, in turn, they reap the rewards of those bonds: higher dominance rank and more sex. For females, the high energetic costs of pregnancy and lactation mean socializing comes at the cost of sharing food that they need for themselves and their offspring.

We expected that play, as a social behavior, would follow other social patterns, with males playing more and being able to afford to play even when food abundance was low. To our surprise, we found the opposite. Females played more, especially during months with less fruit – because mothers kept playing with their babies even when all other chimpanzees had stopped.

A hidden cost of motherhood

Chimpanzees in multimale, multifemale societies that exhibit what researchers call fission-fusion. In other words, the whole social group is rarely, if ever, all together. Instead, chimpanzees break up into temporary subgroups called parties that individuals move among throughout the day.

When food is scarce, parties tend to be smaller, and mothers are often alone with just their young. This strategy reduces feeding competition with group mates. But it also leaves mothers as the only social partners for their offspring. Mothers' time and energy that might be devoted toward other daily tasks, such as feeding and rest, go toward play instead.

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A chimpanzee mom tussles playfully with her young daughter while her infant nurses.

Not only did our study reveal this previously unknown cost of motherhood, but it also highlighted how important play must be for these young chimpanzees that their mothers accept this cost.

You might be curious about how chimpanzee fathers fit in here. Chimpanzees mate promiscuously, so males do not know which offspring are theirs. Mothers are left to bear the costs of parenthood on their own.

An ape connection

Child development researchers know that play, and especially play with parents, is critically important for human social development. In fact, caregivers of young might be reading this in between bouts of play with their little ones right now.

Chimpanzees and people enjoy some of the same kinds of physical play, like playing airplane.

Since chimpanzees are one of our closest living relatives, these kinds of behavioral similarities between our species are not uncommon.

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But not all primate reckon with costly play. In fact, there are almost no records of monkey mothers playing with their babies at all. Most other primate species, such as baboons and capuchins, don't go their separate ways during the day, so babies can play with each other and moms can catch a break.

Whether maternal play is a product of fission-fusion grouping or the developmental needs of offspring still needs to be tested directly. But the responsibility to play with your little ones certainly resonates with many human parents who experienced a sudden shift to become their children's main play partners when interrupted normal activities.

So on this Mother's Day, consider raising a glass to also celebrate these amazing – and tired – chimpanzee moms.The Conversation

Zarin Machanda, Assistant Professor of Anthropology and Biology, Tufts University and Kris Sabbi, Fellow in Human Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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How to tell if a conspiracy theory is probably false

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theconversation.com – H. Colleen Sinclair, Associate Research Professor of Social Psychology, State – 2024-05-07 07:33:01

Conspiracy theories can muddle people's thinking.

Natalie_/iStock / Getty Images Plus

H. Colleen Sinclair, Louisiana State University

Conspiracy theories are everywhere, and they can involve just about anything.

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People believe false conspiracy theories for a wide range of reasons the fact that there are real conspiracies, like efforts by the Sackler to profit by concealing the addictiveness of oxycontin at the cost of countless American lives.

The extreme consequences of unfounded conspiratorial beliefs could be seen on the staircases of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, and in the self-immolation of a protestor outside the courthouse holding the latest Trump trial.

But if hidden forces really are at work in the world, how is someone to know what's really going on?

That's where my research in; I'm a social psychologist who studies misleading narratives. Here are some ways to vet a claim you've seen or heard.

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An overview of a maze of passages between shrubs.

Sometimes there's nothing but the maze itself.

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Step 1: Seek out the evidence

Real conspiracies have been confirmed because there was evidence. For instance, in the allegations dating back to the 1990s that tobacco companies knew cigarettes were dangerous and kept that information secret to make money, scientific studies showed problematic links between tobacco and cancer. Court cases unearthed corporate documents with internal memos showing what executives knew and when. Investigative journalists revealed efforts to hide that information. Doctors explained the effects on their patients. Internal whistleblowers sounded the alarm.

But unfounded conspiracy theories reveal their lack of evidence and substitute instead several elements that should be red flags for skeptics:

  • Dismissing traditional sources of evidence, claiming they are in on the plot.

  • Claiming that missing information is because someone is hiding it, even though it's common that not all facts are known completely for some time after an event.

  • Attacking apparent inconsistencies as evidence of lies.

  • Overinterpreting ambiguity as evidence: A flying object may be unidentified – but that's different from identifying it as an alien spaceship.

  • Using anecdotes – especially vaguely attributed ones – in place of evidence, such as “people are saying” such-and-such or “my cousin's friend experienced” something.

  • Attributing knowledge to secret messages that only a select few can grasp – rather than evidence that's plain and clear to all.

Step 2: Test the allegation

Often, a conspiracy theorist presents only evidence that confirms their idea. Rarely do they put their idea to the tests of logic, reasoning and critical thinking.

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While they may say they do research, they typically do not apply the scientific method. Specifically, they don't actually try to prove themselves wrong.

So a skeptic can follow the method scientists use when they do research: Think about what evidence would contradict the explanation – and then go looking for that evidence.

Sometimes that effort will yield confirmation that the explanation is correct. And sometimes not. Like a scientist, ask yourself: What would it take for you to believe your perception was wrong?

A hand holds a magnifying glass over one silhouetted figure, which is connected in a diagram to other figures.

Look closely at allegations of massive conspiracies.

Boris Zhitkov/Moment via Getty Images

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Step 3: Watch out for tangled webs

When theories claim large groups of people are perpetrating wide-ranging activities over a long period of time, that's another red flag.

Confirmed conspiracies typically involve small, isolated groups, like the top echelon of a company or a single terrorist cell. Even the alliance among tobacco companies to hide their products' danger was confined to those at the top, who made decisions and enlisted paid scientists and ad agencies to spread their messages.

False conspiracies tend to implicate wide swaths of people, such as world leaders, mainstream outlets, the global scientific community, the Hollywood entertainment industry and interconnected agencies.

The online manifesto of Max Azzarello – the man who self-immolated on the steps of a New York courthouse in April 2024– railed against a conspiracy allegedly including every president since Bill Clinton, sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, even the writers of “The Simpsons.”

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Remember that the more people who supposedly know a secret, the harder it is to keep.

Step 4: Look for a motive

Confirmed conspiracies tell stories about why a group of people acted as they did and what they hoped to gain. Dubious conspiracies involve a lot of accusations or just questions without examining what real benefit the conspiracy nets the conspirators, especially when factoring in the costs.

For instance, what purpose would NASA have to lie about the existence of Finland?

Be particularly suspicious when conspiracies allege an “agenda” being perpetrated by an entire sociodemographic, which is often a marginalized group, such as a “gay agenda” or “Muslim agenda.”

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Also look to see whether those spreading the conspiracy theories have something to gain. For example, scholarly research has identified the 12 people who are the primary sources of false claims about vaccinations. The researchers also found that those people profit from making those claims.

Step 5: Seek the source of the allegations

If you can't figure out who is at the root of a conspiracy allegation and thus how they came to know what they claim, that is another red flag. Some people say they have to remain anonymous because the conspiracists will take revenge for revealing information. But even so, a conspiracy can usually be tracked back to its source – maybe a social media account, even an anonymous one.

Over time, anonymous sources either forward or are revealed. For instance, years after the Watergate scandal took down Richard Nixon's presidency, a key inside source known as “Deep Throat” was revealed to be Mark Felt, who had been a high-level FBI official in the early 1970s.

Even the notorious “Q” at the heart of the QAnon conspiracy cult has been identified, and not by government investigators chasing leaks of national secrets. Surprise! Q is not the high-level official some people believed.

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Reliable sources are transparent.

A view of a person holding a flashlight standing in a dark field while a circular shape hovers overhead, beaming a light down.

This didn't happen.

David Wall/Moment via Getty Images

Step 6: Beware the supernatural

Some conspiracy theories – though none that have been proven – involve paranormal, alien, demonic or other supernatural forces. People alive in the 1980s and 1990s might remember the public fear that satanic cults were abusing and sacrificing . That idea never disappeared entirely.

And around the same time, perhaps inspired by the TV “V,” some Americans began to believe in lizard people. It may seem harmless to keep hoping for evidence of Bigfoot, but the person who detonated a bomb in downtown Nashville on Dec. 25, 2020, apparently believed lizard people ran the Earth.

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The closer the conspiracy is to science fiction, the closer it is to just being fiction.

Step 7: Look for other warning signs

There are other red flags too, like the use of prejudicial tropes about the group allegedly behind the conspiracy, particularly antisemitic allegations.

But rather than doing the work to really examine their conspiratorial beliefs, believers often choose to write off the skeptics as fools or as also being in on it – whatever “it” may be.

Ultimately, that's part of the allure of conspiracy theories. It is easier to dismiss criticism than to admit you might be wrong.The Conversation

H. Colleen Sinclair, Associate Research Professor of Social Psychology, Louisiana State University

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This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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Future pandemics will have the same human causes as ancient outbreaks − lessons from anthropology can help prevent them

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theconversation.com – Ron Barrett, Associate Professor of Anthropology, Macalester College – 2024-05-07 07:33:36

The changes that came with the transition from foraging to farming paved the way for disease.

Nastasic/DigitalVision Vectors via Getty Images

Ron Barrett, Macalester College

The last pandemic was bad, but is only one of many infectious diseases that emerged since the turn of this century.

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Since 2000, the world has experienced 15 novel Ebola epidemics, the global spread of a 1918-like influenza strain and major outbreaks of three new and unusually deadly coronavirus infections: SARS, MERS and, of course, COVID-19. Every year, researchers discover two or three entirely new pathogens: the viruses, bacteria and microparasites that sicken and kill people.

While some of these discoveries reflect better detection methods, genetic studies confirm that most of these pathogens are indeed new to the human species. Even more troubling, these diseases are appearing at an increasing rate.

Despite the novelty of these particular infections, the primary factors that led to their emergence are quite ancient. Working in the field of anthropology, I have found that these are primarily human factors: the ways we feed ourselves, the ways we together, and the ways we treat one another. In a forthcoming book, “Emerging Infections: Three Epidemiological Transitions from Prehistory to the Present,” my colleagues and I examine how these same elements have influenced disease dynamics for thousands of years. Twenty-first century technologies have served only to magnify ancient challenges.

Neolithic infections

The first major wave of newly emerging infections occurred with the start of the Neolithic revolution about 12,000 years ago, when people began shifting from foraging to farming as their primary means of subsistence.

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Before then, human infections tended to be mild and chronic in nature, manageable burdens of long-term parasites that people carried around from place to place. But full-time agrarian living brought the kinds of acute and virulent infections that we are familiar with . This global shift was humanity's first epidemiological transition.

illustration of an Egyptian tomb engraving of farmers with domesticated animals

The first emerging infections followed the rise of intensive agriculture.

mikroman6/Moment via Getty Images

Farming itself was not the cause. Rather, it was the major lifestyle changes associated with this new enterprise. Agriculture supplied people with high-calorie grains, but often did so at the expense of dietary diversity, resulting in compromised immunity from nutritional deficiencies.

The human population increased dramatically, and so did the number of large and densely settled communities that could sustain the transmission of deadlier pathogens.

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Our ancient ancestors domesticated animals for food and labor, and their proximity to one another created opportunities for livestock diseases to evolve into human diseases.

Finally, the social hierarchies of newly agrarian societies led to disparities in the distribution of essential resources for healthy living.

These challenges of subsistence, settlement and social organization were the root causes of humanity's first major disease transition.

Declining infections

For a dozen millennia, these patterns spread across the world like a plague of plagues. They persisted until the 19th and 20th centuries, when expectancy rose with the precipitous decline of infectious diseases in high- and middle-income countries.

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Remarkably, the greatest proportion of this decline occurred before the discovery of effective antibiotics and most of the vaccines we use today. improvements were mainly due to nonmedicinal factors such as better farming and food distribution methods, major sanitation projects and housing reforms in poor urban areas.

Etching of unhygienic street conditions in 1800s New York City

Urban sanitation did more than new medicines to reduce infections in the 19th century.

Bettmann via Getty Images

These were significant reversals in the same ancient categories – subsistence, settlement and social organization – that led to the rise of infectious diseases in the first place. They resulted in humanity's second epidemiological transition, a significant but only partial reversal of the changes that first began in the Neolithic period.

This second pattern was not a panacea. Despite overall health improvements, chronic noninfectious conditions such as heart disease and cancer rose to become the primary causes of human mortality.

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Most low-income countries experienced a later version of this transition after World War II, but their health gains from declining infections were significantly less than those of their wealthier counterparts. At the same time, their losses to noninfectious diseases rose at comparable rates. These conflicting trends have led to a “worst-of-all-worlds” scenario with respect to the health of poor societies.

It is also worth noting that the declining infections in low-income societies have depended more on affordable antimicrobial drugs. Given the emergence of drug-resistant pathogens, these medicinal buffers are proving to be little more than short-term for the health consequences of poverty.

With the ability of pathogens to move freely across borders and boundaries, these consequences can quickly become everyone's problems.

part of Earth from space showing lines like flightpaths connecting cities

Every corner of the globe is connected by modern travel.

fotograzia/Moment via Getty Images

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Converging infections

In recent decades, humanity's interconnections have reached the point that nearly everyone now lives within a single global disease . Borders and boundaries no longer constrain the spread of distant outbreaks. The COVID-19 pandemic dramatically illustrated this new reality, when the SARS-CoV-2 virus spread around the world in only a few weeks.

The COVID-19 pandemic also highlighted the ways that infectious and noninfectious diseases can interact synergistically with one another to produce even worse outcomes than the simple sum of each disease. This is starkly illustrated by the majority of COVID-19 deaths, which occurred among people with chronic heart, lung and metabolic conditions that are common to a growing proportion of older people in populations both wealthy and poor.

When combined, these challenges have set the stage for the converging disease patterns visible today. This is the third epidemiological transition: the rise of new, virulent and drug-resistant infections occurring in a rapidly aging and highly interconnected world.

Unfortunately, the present pattern entails increasing outbreaks of new and deadly infections. The root causes of these outbreaks are in such as commercial agricultural practices, the urbanization of human populations and the challenges of poverty in the face of economic growth.

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Despite the magnitude of these determinants, they are essentially the same issues of subsistence, settlement and social organization from 12,000 years ago. Addressing these recurring issues will do more than prepare the world for future pandemics; it will to prevent them from in the first place.The Conversation

Ron Barrett, Associate Professor of Anthropology, Macalester College

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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