SUMMARY: A severe thunderstorm warning is in effect until 5:30 p.m. for Gulfport and Biloxi, with strong winds over 60 mph and small hail possible. Heavy rain and frequent lightning are impacting the region, with storms stretching along I-10 from the Mississippi-Louisiana border toward Alabama. Tornado risk remains very low, but marine warnings apply offshore due to possible waterspouts and 50 mph wind gusts. Temperatures have dropped to the 70s near the coast but remain in the upper 80s to low 90s inland. Rain chances will continue overnight and through Tuesday, then decrease by Thursday as a cold front passes. Temperatures are expected to rise to mid-90s by Independence Day, with rain chances low Friday through Saturday before increasing again early next week.

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SUMMARY: Sam’s “Warm and Damp” Monday evening forecast reports recent rainfall totals: Bay St. Louis about 1.5 inches, Bualuxy and Ocean Springs under an inch, Gulfport half an inch, Lucale a quarter inch, and Pasigula a trace. A storm passed between 1:30 and 2:30 pm, with more rain expected over the next hours. The Mississippi radar shows heavy rain moving southeast. An aerial flood advisory is in effect due to heavy weekend and recent rain. Temperatures are warm and humid, around mid-70s to low 90s. Rain chances will increase early Tuesday, with cloud cover limiting afternoon highs. A drier, hot Fourth of July is forecast.

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SUMMARY: South Mississippi will start the week with scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially Monday and Tuesday, with 1-2 inches of rain possible. Temperatures remain hot and humid, mostly in the upper 80s to low 90s. A cold front will bring more rain chances before a high-pressure ridge builds midweek, lowering rain chances by Wednesday through Friday. The Fourth of July looks mostly dry but very hot, with highs possibly in the mid to upper 90s and heat indices above 100. A low-pressure area near the Gulf or East Coast could develop into a tropical system by next weekend, bringing heavy rain, but details remain uncertain.

Meteorologist Taylor Graham explains how a soggy start to the week could be in the cards for South Mississippi.

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