News from the South - North Carolina News Feed
Tillis’s strongest, loudest opponents in 2026 Senate race aren’t Democrats • Asheville Watchdog
The first of political blogger Chris Hinkle’s countdown to Thom Tillis’s defeat came into my social media feed on May 16. It read simply: “Today is May 16, 2025 and @SenThomTillis has 476 days left until he is voted out of office.”

The second message predicting the exact timing of the North Carolina Republican senator’s defeat came on May 17. Same words, one day less. Then a third on May 18, a fourth on May 19, and on and on to the present, like the proverbial water torture transported to X.
Although the general election is 17 months away and Hinkle’s math was a little shaky – it’s actually 517 days today – a post like this wouldn’t be noteworthy were Hinkle a Democrat trolling one of that party’s biggest targets in the 2026 mid-term election.
But it emphatically is. I tracked Hinkle to his home in Mississippi where he retired as an FBI special agent and took up blogging, public speaking and trolling politicians he deems less than devoted to the principles of MAGA and its leader, Donald Trump.
In Hinkle’s world, Tillis is high among these lightly devoted adherents and thus worthy of daily bashing. What I find both remarkable and disturbing is the vitriolic reaction that something as benign as Hinkle’s countdown ignites on a daily basis, some of it cheeky, though much of it ominous and disturbing.
“Traitor” is one word that comes up regularly in reference to Tillis. “Horrible for our state,” writes another amid threats I won’t repeat, while one more pledges “we will NEVER vote for Thom Tillis again. EVER.” Earlier this year, Tillis’s office released a sampling of the most vicious attacks, one threatening to cut the senator’s throat and another warning that he avoid going out in public because “we hate you … and you are going to fail.”
What becomes apparent upon reviewing as many of these comments as I can stomach is that the overwhelming majority come from people who identify online as patriots, MAGAs and America Firsters.
To state the obvious, this is a problem for Tillis and for the Republican Party’s ability to hold on to the Senate, where it has a 53-47 edge, after next fall’s election. The North Carolina contest is regarded as one of five nationwide where the Republican incumbent is vulnerable – enough to swing control.
In my experience, rarely have I seen an incumbent face such strong headwinds as Tillis faces and manage to win re-election.
Survey: Tillis is “weak” and “partisan voice for Trump”
Among the numbers that tell the story: Twice as many voters hold an unfavorable opinion of Tillis as a favorable one, according to a Public Policy Polling survey in March. Just 21 percent of the 662 North Carolina voters surveyed said they characterize him as a “strong leader” while 51 percent describe him as “weak.”
Another 42 percent see Tillis as a “partisan voice for Donald Trump,” though not in a positive way. Just 19 percent of Republicans said they regard Tillis as being on Trump’s side – a damning assessment, especially if Tillis faces a strong challenge for the Republican nomination by an overtly pro-Trump candidate. And that’s likely the case.
Two challengers are already traveling the state GOP circuit, both tightly wrapped in Trump garments. Don Brown, a retired Navy lawyer and unsuccessful congressional candidate in 2024, is posting frequent YouTube videos calling his opponent “Swamp Thom.” Retired businessman Andy Nilsson will make another go for office (he lost in a prior Senate bid and for lieutenant governor); he, too, regards Tillis as insufficiently Trumpian.
Whether either of these two will become serious contenders for the nomination is yet to be determined.
But already a viable – though aspirational – threat is Lara Trump, the president’s daughter-in-law (Eric’s wife), former co-chair of the Republican Party and a native North Carolinian. In a Carolina Journal poll last December, she was the favorite of 65 percent of the responders to Tillis’s humiliating 11 percent.

What may save Tillis from actual humiliation in a primary next March is that Lara and Eric currently live in Florida in a multi-million house adjacent to the Trump golf course. But in addition to age and citizenship, North Carolina law requires only that a senator be a state resident on Election Day, which gives plenty of time to find new schools for the kids.
Hinkle, the Republican blogger, told me in a phone interview that he believes the state’s GOP leadership won’t hesitate to dump Tillis if Lara Trump runs. The party leadership showed its disdain for Tillis in 2023 when it censured him for backing Biden administration bills supporting same-sex marriage, putting restrictions on gun sales and – most notably – condemning the January 6 insurrection to block Biden’s victory.
Why Trump dislikes Tillis
Tillis recently questioned Trump’s tariff policies. He made news by asking a White House official, “Whose throat do I get to choke if this proves to be wrong?”

And he joined a Democratic senator in sponsoring a bill that would elevate FEMA from a department under the Department of Homeland Security to a stand-alone agency reporting directly to the president – this when Trump was calling for FEMA to be abolished. Tillis’s decision to oppose Ed Martin, Trump’s nominee for U.S. attorney in Washington, D.C., was the final straw. The senator said Martin’s overt support for several January 6 rioters wouldn’t be tolerated, a position that yielded the “traitor” label on social media.
Little wonder, Hinkle says that President Trump makes it known that he doesn’t like Tillis and will do whatever he can to recruit Lara Trump or find an alternative more likely to bend the knee.
I reached out to Tillis’s campaign manager, Abby Roesch, for comment, but she did not reply.
And then there are the Democrats.
Axiom No. 1 in politics is that you can’t beat somebody with nobody. As I write this, the Democrats have one contender for the party’s nomination: former congressman Wiley Nickel, a one-termer with little statewide recognition.
But eyes are on former Gov. Roy Cooper who, Hamlet-like, has been keeping his own counsel while teaching at Harvard for the past year. But he has said he foresees a future role of some sort for himself and has promised an announcement as soon as this month. His party holds its breath.
Democrats yearn for Cooper
The two-term Democrat left office in January with favorability numbers far exceeding Tillis’s.

The March survey by Public Policy Polling found 47 percent approval of Cooper’s job performance in office. By contrast, Tillis scored only a 26 percent approval.
In a head-to-head match, Cooper would edge out Tillis by 47 to 43 percent, with each candidate collecting solid support from their party’s voters, according to the survey, which had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3.8 points. And Cooper would win among independent voters – the state’s largest bloc – by 53 to 49 percent.
Given Tillis’s problems in uniting his own party, to face a probable loss with the independents would be daunting at best.
But here’s the tightrope the senator must walk: If he faces a strong primary challenge, he’ll be forced to turn more toward the MAGA side of the GOP. Any victory would be pyrrhic in that this tactic would turn independent voters against him while energizing Democrats.
Axiom No. 2 in politics is to expect the unexpected. Democrats should be reminded that their candidate in 2020, Cal Cunningham, was leading Tillis by similar margins at this time in that cycle. Then the unexpected: Cunningham was caught having an affair with a campaign consultant and his lead evaporated.
This isn’t to suggest that Cooper might do something recklessly stupid, but it is to note that Tillis’s demise isn’t to be regarded as a foregone conclusion if the former governor jumps in.
One other thing: As weak as the numbers may indicate for Tillis, he is a world-class fundraiser who retains a loyal base.
Among these is Shelia Surrett of Asheville, a member of Tillis’s leadership team since 2014. She told me she is confident Republican voters will rally around Tillis when they recognize that he is the only Republican capable of keeping the seat in Republican hands. Those who are attacking him from the far right are “too far out there. These people are a little dangerous and they have too much hatred,” she said.
Just 517 days.
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Asheville Watchdog is a nonprofit news team producing stories that matter to Asheville and Buncombe County. Tom Fiedler is a Pulitzer Prize-winning political reporter and dean emeritus from Boston University who lives in Asheville. Email him at tfiedler@avlwatchdog.org. The Watchdog’s reporting is made possible by donations from the community. To show your support for this vital public service go to avlwatchdog.org/support-our-publication/.
Related
The post Tillis’s strongest, loudest opponents in 2026 Senate race aren’t Democrats • Asheville Watchdog appeared first on avlwatchdog.org
Note: The following A.I. based commentary is not part of the original article, reproduced above, but is offered in the hopes that it will promote greater media literacy and critical thinking, by making any potential bias more visible to the reader –Staff Editor.
Political Bias Rating: Center-Left
This content presents a critical view of Republican Senator Thom Tillis, focusing on his struggles within the party and with the MAGA wing, while also highlighting the potential Democratic challenger Roy Cooper positively. The coverage appears fact-based but emphasizes internal GOP conflicts and Trump-aligned opposition, which aligns with a center-left perspective that is critical of right-wing factions and sympathetic to moderate Democrats. However, it maintains an overall balanced tone without overtly partisan language or dismissive treatment of any side, suggesting a measured but slightly left-leaning stance.
News from the South - North Carolina News Feed
Too much of a good thing? Lawsuits take aim at popular food brands
SUMMARY: Ultraprocessed foods like Cheetos, frozen waffles, soda, and frozen pizza make up most Americans’ calorie intake but are linked to obesity, diabetes, and heart disease. A federal lawsuit accuses 11 major food companies of knowingly marketing addictive, unhealthy products using tactics similar to big tobacco, including spending \$2 billion yearly targeting children. These foods often contain many unrecognizable ingredients and multiple forms of sugar to increase addictiveness. Experts advise shopping the grocery store perimeter for fresh produce and checking labels carefully. The issue is gaining attention amid concerns about rising cancer rates linked to ultraprocessed diets.

Companies behind some of the world’s most popular food brands are at the center of a federal lawsuit. The role doctors say ultra processed foods could play in America’s health crisis.
News from the South - North Carolina News Feed
Hayes, Bell offer opposing perspectives on NC elections job
Some might say newly appointed State Board of Elections Executive Director Sam Hayes wrote his own job into law.
As general counsel for the Speaker of the House, Hayes had a hand in writing Senate Bill 382, the Tropical Storm Helene relief bill that also shifted election appointment power from the Democratic governor to the newly elected Republican state auditor.
As a result, the State Board of Elections got a new Republican majority that then chose a new executive director. After a state court allowed the law to go into effect, the board chose Hayes, a Republican attorney whose election experience includes defending North Carolina’s voter ID law, legislators’ redistricting plans and most recently, Senate Bill 382.
“So I worked on the legislation, I’ve defended the legislation, and now I’m here,” Hayes said in a recent interview with Carolina Public Press.
[Subscribe for FREE to Carolina Public Press’ alerts and weekend roundup newsletters]
Hayes has big plans for the agency, which has been plagued by accusations of partisanship lodged by Republicans in recent years. Former executive director Karen Brinson Bell has taken the brunt of much of that criticism.
Hayes told CPP he plans to approach the job from a strictly legal perspective, while leveraging his relationships with Republican lawmakers to secure the resources needed to support North Carolina elections.
Meanwhile, Bell had one message for North Carolinians on her way out the door — it’s time to restore civility to elections.
“I hope we can get to a place in this country, and especially in this state that I hold so dear, where dedicated, hardworking election workers are supported and rewarded for their work, rather than vilified by those who don’t like the outcome,” she said in her final speech.
While the board’s transition may come with a change in mindset, many of Hayes’ and Bell’s priorities align: modernizing the state’s election systems and ensuring that every eligible voter can exercise their right to vote.
Hayes: ‘A big challenge’
One of Hayes’ first orders of business upon taking office was traveling down to Florida with State Auditor Dave Boliek.
Hayes wanted to talk to Florida’s secretary of state and elections officials to see what they’re doing, “because they get it right,” he said.
“This is a large state, much larger than North Carolina, but they seem to be able to count their votes and to have certainty on Election Night,” Hayes said. “And I’d like to get us to the same place in North Carolina.”
In a sense, Hayes is taking an auditor’s approach to North Carolina’s election apparatus. He plans to call for a top-to-bottom performance audit of the State Board of Elections to help inform his work. And he intends to talk to similar-sized states about their election systems in the hopes of replacing North Carolina’s nearly obsolete legacy system.
“This is a big challenge, but there’s a lot of opportunity here as well,” he said.
“… We’re still looking under the hood — we just got here — but we know that there’s a number of big issues hanging out there that we’re going to have to tackle, and we’re going to tackle them pretty quickly.”
Chief among those is the state’s voter registration rolls, which have been the subject of controversy and litigation for a few years.
In 2023, it came to light that North Carolina’s voter registration form used the wrong color-coding on the section requiring registrants to provide a driver’s license or the last four digits of their Social Security number, or if they didn’t have either, to check a box to get a unique voter identification number.
While the State Board fixed the form, they did not call all voters on the rolls without a listed number. That inaction has led to ongoing federal and state litigation, including a high-profile election protest by Court of Appeals Judge Jefferson Griffin and most recently, the US Department of Justice.
Curing those deficiencies is at the top of Hayes’ list.
“It’s the law, and I have said all along that we’re going to follow the law here, and we’re going to do things the right way,” he said.
Bell said everyone’s got it wrong. Just because someone’s identifying number doesn’t appear on the digital voter registration rolls doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist — any number of benign data entry or matching issues could be in play, she said.
Also, voters who don’t provide a number have to provide additional documentation at the polls to be able to vote, ensuring election security, Bell added.
“I stand by the fact that we have a verified, audited, well-maintained process in North Carolina,” she said.
A tale of two budgets
It’s budget season in Raleigh, and both Bell and Hayes made attempts to get elections priorities into budget proposals. Hayes appears to have enjoyed greater success with the Republican-controlled General Assembly.
While the legislature is mostly focused on trimming the fat by cutting vacant positions, Hayes asked for a handful of new hires to take on his vision for North Carolina elections.
“Elections are pretty fundamental to the work of government, so I’ve made the case that we need some of those, and I need some more folks around me here to help me in this,” he said.
Hayes is in the perfect position to make his argument. Since 2021, he’s developed election policy and defended state election law for Republican House speakers Tim Moore and Destin Hall.
Before that, he led the Department of Environmental Quality and state treasurer office’s legal departments. Over the past decade, Hayes developed relationships with legislators he now has to pitch to get what he wants in the budget and the law. Before his last day at the legislature, he was already meeting with budget chairs to sell his priorities, he said.
“You’ve got to be able to articulate your vision and the needs there,” he said. “And I’ve worked with these people for many years. I know them very well, and I just think that I’ve hopefully been able to convey the urgency and the needs here.”
Already, he’s seen results. The House budget, released a week after Hayes’ start date, includes $2 million more for the State Board of Elections than the earlier Senate version to modernize the state’s election system, and adds seven new positions to the agency. These positions are exempt from the State Human Resources Act, meaning that political affiliation can be considered in hiring.

Bell wasn’t so lucky on the funding front.
Attempts to meet with Senate budget chairs before the chamber’s proposal came out this session never came to fruition, despite more than a month of attempted scheduling, according to email correspondence between the board and legislators requested by CPP.
Throughout her time at the agency, lawmakers didn’t increase state election funding and federal funding through the Help America Vote Act decreased significantly, Bell said in an interview with CPP. So, she learned to do more with less.
As someone with decades of experience in elections — Bell served as a regional field specialist in Western North Carolina, Transylvania County’s election director and worked for an election administration software company before becoming state director — she said it was frustrating when her case for additional election funding wasn’t always heard.
“It’s my understanding that there’s been some changes in what’s being proposed for elections in the last two weeks since I’ve been gone that seemed very favorable to the agency — a lot of funding that we’ve been asking for,” she said.
Hayes’ other plans
While the budget isn’t finalized, Hayes is optimistic it will include funding to modernize the State’s Election Information Management System (SEIMS), which serves as a one-stop shop for everything from managing ballot styles to processing early voting.
In 2023, the state appropriated $5.6 million toward the project, but the elections board needs an additional $3.89 million to finish the job, according to agency budget requests obtained by CPP in a public records request.
Current software is outdated and will soon be unable to undergo updates or adequately fight cybersecurity concerns, according to one State Board budget request form.
North Carolina’s campaign finance software, developed in 1998, is in a similarly bad state. According to budget request documents, it’s reaching the end of life; the software increasingly doesn’t “talk” to more technologically advanced systems, requiring time-sucking manual work, riskier data-sharing over email and a lot of IT maintenance as a result.
For example, in the third quarter of 2024, employees spent 370 hours manually importing data files and scanning manually filed campaign finance reports. A modernized system would save the agency 2,220 working hours in an election year, according to the budget request.
Hayes thinks that modernizing SEIMS, and eventually, finding a new system altogether, will help election directors meet new ballot counting deadlines set by SB382.
The law requires county boards to count absentee and provisional ballots much faster than before — by the Friday after Election Day.
Election directors have raised the alarm about this mandate. While some smaller counties may be able to do the job, larger county directors have said they’re not sure it’s possible considering the size of their staffs and the volume of work to be done after an election.
Hayes is also calling on the legislature to amend SB382 to potentially allow elections workers to start counting absentee and provisional ballots earlier, before Election Day.
“Rather than extending it on the back end so that we have these counts that continue for what seems like an eternity, maybe we count more on the front end on a rolling basis,” he said.
Finally, Hayes wants a redo on signature verification. While 2023’s Senate Bill 747 spurred a pilot program to test out the security measure, the procurement process did not go as planned, according to a report.
A mindset shift
Since Bell took the executive director job in 2019, she’s developed Teflon skin. Every time someone made a jab at her for acting in a partisan or biased way, she thought back to the individual interactions with voters that remind her of the difference her work made in North Carolinians’ lives.
For Hayes, he says it’s simple — follow the black-and-white text of the law.
“We know what it says, and I intend to follow it,” he said. “I think where the board lost confidence is when they went astray from that.”
Hayes cited a settlement over absentee ballot acceptance in 2020 and decisions over which political parties qualified for the ballot as decisions seen as partisan.
But Bell’s compass was the voters, not any party, she said. She’s proud of her extensive work — she was told she accepted more hand sanitizer than Texas or California — in 2020 to ensure that voting sites didn’t contribute to the spread of COVID-19.
And she’s glad that her team was able to open early voting sites on time after Tropical Storm Helene hit Western North Carolina, and give people the opportunity to retain some normalcy in the midst of tragedy.
Bell doesn’t think the criticism of her is fair. However, she is concerned about elected officials sowing distrust in elections without understanding the full picture.
“For all the attacks, I could lay my head down on my pillows at night,” she said. “I know in my heart of hearts that every day I woke up with one charge: make sure that every eligible voter can cast their ballot.”
This article first appeared on Carolina Public Press and is republished here under a Creative Commons Attribution-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
The post Hayes, Bell offer opposing perspectives on NC elections job appeared first on carolinapublicpress.org
Note: The following A.I. based commentary is not part of the original article, reproduced above, but is offered in the hopes that it will promote greater media literacy and critical thinking, by making any potential bias more visible to the reader –Staff Editor.
Political Bias Rating: Center-Right
This article presents a largely factual and detailed account of the recent changes and challenges within North Carolina’s State Board of Elections, focusing on the newly appointed executive director Sam Hayes, who is closely tied to Republican legislative initiatives. The language is generally neutral but does highlight Hayes’ Republican affiliations and legislative work in a matter-of-fact way, while also giving space to the outgoing director Karen Brinson Bell’s more critical perspective. The piece reflects an understanding of the political context but refrains from overt editorializing, leaning slightly toward the center-right given its emphasis on Republican-led reforms and legalistic framing of election administration.
News from the South - North Carolina News Feed
CBO says tariffs will shrink the economy and add to inflation but reduce the deficit
SUMMARY: The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) warns that President Trump’s proposed spending bill will increase the deficit by $2.4 trillion over the next decade, shrink the economy, and fuel inflation. It projects 16 million people could lose health insurance due to cuts in Medicaid and ACA tax credits. Despite criticism from Moody’s, senators, and economists, White House officials insist the bill won’t worsen debt. Meanwhile, the economy shows signs of slowing: a recent federal report cites tariff-related uncertainties hurting businesses, while May’s job growth was the weakest in over two years, highlighting urgent calls for stability.

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office estimates that President Donald Trump’s tariffs would shrink the U.S. economy and add to inflation while reducing the federal deficit by $2.8 trillion.
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