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First U.S.-China meeting amidst trade war unlikely to yield major changes, economists say | National

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www.thecentersquare.com – Morgan Sweeney – (The Center Square – ) 2025-05-09 22:05:00


The U.S. and China are meeting for the first time since their trade war began, sparked by tariff increases from both sides. While President Trump raised tariffs on many trading partners in April, China responded with its own tariffs, escalating tensions. Economists view the upcoming meeting skeptically, seeing it as a preliminary step rather than a breakthrough. Past efforts, like the 2020 ‘Phase One’ deal, failed to resolve deeper issues like forced technology transfers and state subsidies. Political and economic challenges in both countries complicate negotiations. Analysts expect a long, difficult path toward any substantial trade agreement, with possible tariff reductions being tentative at best.

(The Center Square) – The U.S. is set to meet with China for the first time in the trade war begun just over a month ago, and while it could lead to real negotiations down the road, many observers see it as a preliminary meeting.

President Donald Trump raised tariffs with many of America’s trading partners, including China, on April 2, causing many countries to reach out to the U.S. to negotiate trade deals, according to the administration (though the White House has only shared the framework details of one deal made with the United Kingdom). But China chose to raise its tariffs in response, sparking a trade war that has resulted in a 145% tariff on Chinese imports to the U.S. and a 125% tariff on American goods imported to China.

Trump has said he has been talking with Chinese President Xi Jinping, but neither country had released any details about those conversations, and China denied they happened. Several economists The Center Square spoke to weren’t optimistic that the meeting would yield big results. 

“By all accounts that we can locate, it appears that it’s a meeting to talk about a meeting,” said director of education and senior research fellow at the American Institute for Economic Research, Ryan Yonk.”Which isn’t a big surprise. That’s how these things tend to begin, where behind the scenes, there is movement likely on both sides… to begin to talk about how will they actually set up a way to have more formal discussions.’”

Alex Durante, a senior economist at the Tax Foundation who previously worked for the Federal Reserve Board and the Council of Economic Advisers, agreed. 

“I think it’s possible that maybe both sides reach some kind of agreement and tariffs maybe on certain kinds of goods are lowered or removed, but I’m a bit skeptical that we’re going to get something very remarkable,” Durante told The Center Square.

Part of the skepticism is due to an episode of déjà vu – the first Trump administration also had specific aspirations for U.S.-China trade relations which largely never materialized. Trump also raised tariffs on China then to establish a better trade relationship. China, as it has now, responded in kind. In January 2020, the Trump administration signed the ‘Phase One’ trade agreement, which included commitments from China to increase U.S. imports by $200 billion and strengthen protections on intellectual property. But China ultimately fell short of its purchasing commitments, partly due to the pandemic. Trump had also sought to further address non-tariff barriers such as forced technology transfer and state subsidies, but those deeper issues remained unresolved.

“They never got to some of the real issues – that is, the problems of the state capitalism characteristics that really hamper trade and investment with not just the United States but others – the kinds of things about technology transfer, about subsidies, about favoritism to state-owned companies,” said Claude Barfield, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and a former consultant to the office of the U.S. Trade Representative.

Some of these issues were spoken about in a congressional hearing earlier this year that focused on the Chinese Communist Party’s influence on American investment. China reportedly pressures companies to share proprietary technology to gain access to the Chinese market, and it employs other business practices in its international deals that don’t comply with World Trade Organization regulations.

More skepticism comes from the fact that both sides have invested far more than merely economics in the outcome of their negotiations.

“You [have] two regimes that are unlikely to make decisions on pure economic outcomes, as much as we think they should,” Yonk told The Center Square. 

China has undergone a marked real estate crisis and faces other economic challenges, and the U.S. is adjusting to new economic policies under the Trump administration, the after-effects of a jarring inflationary period and the looming question of a recession.

“There’s been massive capital investment [in China] that really hasn’t panned out in the way they expected,” Yonk said. “In large part, China had messaged their legitimacy by what they could deliver economically. When that changed, there was a pivot to more Chinese nationalism as the justification, which means it’s no longer about just getting an economic deal that’s going to work for China, there’s also now a much more nationalistic question that’s on the table about respect and sort of world influence.”

Barfield also described economic problems in both countries. Xi has “internal issues,” Barfield said, while Trump, elected for his economic policies, faces pressures at home. 

“Has he done things to help him on the issues that got him elected?” Barfield remarked to The Center Square. “Certainly, throwing tariffs all around the world isn’t going to help. We don’t know yet, but it may not end up in inflation over the whole U.S. economy rather than just sort of price hikes in different sectors, but it’s something he and his people are now worried about.” 

The administration has acknowledged the existing rates are unsustainable, but it’s unclear which side will make concessions first.

“I think it’s a bit of a pick ‘em [whether] one side or the other gives in first, and I actually think we’re not likely to see evidence that one side or the other did. I think both sides will claim the other did and the question will be, can the other side accept that narrative and still go forward with some sort of trade deal. I think it’s gonna be a long road to a trade deal with China that is really sort of substantial and far-reaching,” Yonk said.

Trump did post to Truth Social on Friday, saying a lowered 80% tariff on China “seems right” but that it was up to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, but this was after saying earlier in the week that the U.S. would not lower tariffs on China to prompt concessions from the Chinese.

“I think the best outcome would be sort of a cooling off period, if they agree to actually have discussions after Saturday,” Yonk said.

The post First U.S.-China meeting amidst trade war unlikely to yield major changes, economists say | National appeared first on www.thecentersquare.com



Note: The following A.I. based commentary is not part of the original article, reproduced above, but is offered in the hopes that it will promote greater media literacy and critical thinking, by making any potential bias more visible to the reader –Staff Editor.

Political Bias Rating: Centrist

The article primarily reports on the ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations and related economic policies without advocating for a specific ideological stance. It presents statements from multiple experts with varied perspectives, describing skepticism about the outcomes and detailing both sides’ actions and challenges. The language remains factual and neutral, focusing on analysis and reporting rather than promoting a partisan point of view. The piece discusses concerns about tariffs, economic and political factors, and historical context evenly, adhering to a balanced and informative tone typical of neutral reporting.

The Center Square

CA’s estimated $10B deficit ‘precisely’ matches illegal immigrant health care cost | California

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www.thecentersquare.com – Kenneth Schrupp – (The Center Square – ) 2025-05-09 18:00:00


California faces a $10 billion-plus deficit even if tax revenues hold steady, driven by higher-than-anticipated spending. Critics link this shortfall to the state’s expansion of Medi-Cal eligibility to illegal immigrants, which is estimated to cost $10 billion. The Legislative Analyst’s Office warns the economy is “stagnant” and reliant on an “unsustainable” stock market, with a fragile outlook amid potential consumer sentiment declines. Last year, California closed a $73 billion deficit through cuts and reserves. Rising mandatory costs like Medi-Cal, combined with possible federal funding cuts, may cause another shortfall. Despite claims of economic strength, job losses and weaker tax revenue persist.

(The Center Square) – California legislators have been told to expect a deficit of $10 billion or more even if revenues do not fall due to higher than anticipated spending, reports Politico.

Critics note that the $10 billion figure matches estimated costs of the state’s expansion of eligibility for Medi-Cal, the state’s taxpayer-financed health care system, to all income-qualifying illegal immigrants. 

“What a fiscal coincidence: precisely the estimated cost of Gavin Newsom’s plan to extend state Medi-Cal to illegal immigrants,” said Will Swaim, president of the conservative California Policy Center on X. 

Earlier this week, the state-funded Legislative Analyst’s Office warned the state’s economy is “stagnant” and “fragile” and that the budget is reliant on an “unsustainable” stock market. Earlier Friday, the LAO urged lawmakers to consider the possible negative downturn that tends to but does not always accompany significant decreases in consumer sentiment. 

“If hard economic data fall in-line with worrisome economic indicators, the state’s revenue outlook will turn more negative; however, recent history suggests this outcome is far from certain,” wrote the LAO. “As such, we urge policymakers to weigh the risks of both the possibility of a further downturn and of better than expected growth when making budget decisions.”

Last year, the state narrowly closed a $73 billion deficit through a combination of spending cuts, deferrals, shifts, and reserve withdrawals. 

Now, even if state tax revenue remains steady, rising non-discretionary spending, such as from Medi-Cal, combined with possible cuts or funding withholding at the federal level could leave the state billions of dollars short yet again. 

Federal spending in California is set to be $171 billion this year.

In February, state officials said California had spent $9.5 billion thus far on Medi-Cal services for illegal immigrants, The Center Square first reported, resulting in California Gov. Gavin Newsom requesting a $6.4 billion emergency bailout to fund the program for the remainder of the fiscal year. 

In April, Newsom bragged about the strength of the California economy, sharing it’s now the world’ fourth-largest economy in U.S. dollars — due to the relative decline of the Japanese yen to the dollar. After accounting for the high cost of goods and services, California only barely edges out low-performing Italy, and the state has shed hundreds of thousands of private sector jobs amid lower projected sales and corporate tax revenue. 

The post CA’s estimated $10B deficit ‘precisely’ matches illegal immigrant health care cost | California appeared first on www.thecentersquare.com



Note: The following A.I. based commentary is not part of the original article, reproduced above, but is offered in the hopes that it will promote greater media literacy and critical thinking, by making any potential bias more visible to the reader –Staff Editor.

Political Bias Rating: Center-Right

The article leans toward a Center-Right bias, primarily through its critical framing of California’s fiscal issues and the expansion of Medi-Cal to illegal immigrants. The tone of the article emphasizes the state’s financial strain, with criticisms from conservative voices like Will Swaim of the California Policy Center, who links the budget deficit directly to the cost of extending Medi-Cal. The article also highlights concerns about unsustainable spending and economic fragility, using language that suggests an ongoing fiscal crisis. While it reports facts, the focus on negative economic outlooks, the emphasis on conservative critiques, and the lack of substantial counterbalance to these critiques suggest a leaning towards a more conservative viewpoint on fiscal matters.

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News from the South - Louisiana News Feed

Louisiana lawmakers advance bill to increase oversight of regulatory state | Louisiana

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www.thecentersquare.com – By Nolan McKendry | The Center Square – (The Center Square – ) 2025-05-09 13:04:00


Louisiana lawmakers are considering bills to enhance oversight on state spending and regulation. Senate Bill 59, by Sen. Mike Reese, would require legislative approval for state agency rules with significant fiscal impact, aiming to increase accountability. Meanwhile, SB 184, by Sen. Heather Cloud, targets nonprofit organizations, mandating financial audits and outcome data for those receiving public funds. Governor Jeff Landry has also launched the Department of Governmental Efficiency (DOGE), led by a Fiscal Responsibility Czar, to streamline state operations. While the initiatives seek to improve transparency, critics question their necessity and potential duplication of existing oversight.

(The Center Square) − As Louisiana’s legislative session continues, lawmakers are considering multiple bills aimed at increasing oversight of regulatory actions and tightening the rules for how taxpayer money is spent.

One of the early measures gaining traction is Senate Bill 59 by Sen. Mike Reese, R-Leesville, which would require legislative approval before any state agency rule with a significant fiscal impact — defined as at least $200,000 per year or $1 million over five years — could take effect. The bill passed a key Senate vote and now awaits consideration in the House.

Supporters say the bill would improve accountability by ensuring that major regulatory decisions are reviewed by elected officials. The proposal is similar to the so-called “REINS Act” model being promoted in legislatures across the country.

Under current Louisiana law, agencies must include fiscal impact statements with proposed rules, but they are not always subject to legislative approval. SB 59 would expand that oversight, requiring the fiscal office to assess potential costs and trigger committee hearings for high-impact rules. Emergency regulations would also be subject to additional fiscal scrutiny under the bill.

Meanwhile, another piece of legislation — SB184 by Sen. Heather Cloud, R-Allen — would implement new standards for nongovernmental organizations that receive public dollars.

The bill, which is scheduled for further debate in the Senate Finance Committee, would require recipient organizations to provide detailed financial audits, outcome data, and statements of public purpose before receiving state appropriations.

Nonprofits would also need to be registered in Louisiana for at least one year, keep administrative costs under 15% of expenditures, and maintain a physical office in the state. Groups that fail to submit required documentation could face a five-year ban from receiving state funds.

The legislation would consolidate existing data into a searchable portal through Louisiana’s Checkbook platform to allow the public and lawmakers to better monitor how funds are spent.

“These bills are part of a broader effort to increase transparency and ensure responsible stewardship of taxpayer money,” Cloud said during a recent hearing.

In addition to the legislative activity, Governor Jeff Landry has launched a new initiative—the Department of Governmental Efficiency (DOGE)—tasked with identifying ways to reduce waste and improve performance in state government.

Landry appointed Steve Orlando as Fiscal Responsibility Czar, who is expected to work closely with the Louisiana Legislative Auditor.

A news release from the governor’s office says residents are encouraged to submit suggestions for improving government efficiency via email.

The DOGE initiative has drawn both support and criticism. Supporters see it as a step toward greater fiscal accountability, while critics, including some legislators, question whether it duplicates existing oversight functions already handled by the legislature and the state auditor.

“Legislators create and pass the state’s annual budget, which the governor then signs, with a line-item veto,” Rep. Mandie Landry, D-New Orleans, said in a statement. “A new, bureaucratic entity cannot and should not supersede these constitutional powers.”

The post Louisiana lawmakers advance bill to increase oversight of regulatory state | Louisiana appeared first on www.thecentersquare.com



Note: The following A.I. based commentary is not part of the original article, reproduced above, but is offered in the hopes that it will promote greater media literacy and critical thinking, by making any potential bias more visible to the reader –Staff Editor.

Political Bias Rating: Center-Right

The article primarily reports on legislative efforts and government initiatives in Louisiana aimed at increasing oversight, fiscal responsibility, and transparency in spending. The tone is factual and includes statements from both supporters, including Republican lawmakers and Governor Jeff Landry, and critics, such as a Democratic representative. However, the focus on regulatory tightening, fiscal scrutiny, and government efficiency aligns more closely with conservative, center-right priorities emphasizing limited government oversight and financial accountability. The language is measured and not overtly partisan, maintaining a mostly neutral reporting style without promoting an ideological agenda, but the content’s framing suggests a center-right perspective based on the topics covered and the officials highlighted.

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News from the South - North Carolina News Feed

Auditor’s report discovers hundreds of state employees with outdated W-2 | North Carolina

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www.thecentersquare.com – By Alan Wooten | The Center Square – (The Center Square – ) 2025-05-09 12:37:00


State Auditor Dave Boliek’s office discovered that 1,011 employees across 13 state agencies had out-of-state addresses listed on their W-2 forms. Many were outdated due to moves to North Carolina. Of these, 317 were located outside neighboring states like South Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia. The auditor’s office helped agencies update employee information and recommended annual reminders for employees to verify and update their contact and tax details. The report emphasized the importance of proper documentation to determine state tax residency, as North Carolina requires residents to file income tax returns annually.

(The Center Square) – Having discovered an employee in his office not commuting to work and living outside of North Carolina, state Auditor Dave Boliek’s office checked state agencies and found 1,011 with out-of-state addresses on W-2 forms.

Many are simply outdated after moves to North Carolina.

The Rapid Response Division of the auditor’s office says 317 of those were not in bordering states South Carolina, Tennessee and Virginia. It did not give a number for the border state of Georgia. The total was within 13 state agencies.

A release from Boliek’s office says, “Multiple agencies reported back that employees had not properly updated the address on their W-2 form since relocating to North Carolina. OSA confirmed with the state agencies the employees were accounted for. Through proactive engagement, OSA assisted other agencies in properly updating the address on employee W-2 forms.”

The report concludes with the recommendation, “State agencies should annually remind all employees to update their contact information as well as tax information and annually verify said contact information and tax information is up-to-date and correct.”

Tax laws identify residents, part-time residents and nonresidents with respect to paying state income tax.

A nonresident “resides in North Carolina for a temporary or transitory purpose and is, in fact, a domiciliary resident of another state or country,” or “does not reside in North Carolina but has income from sources within North Carolina and is, in fact, a domiciliary resident of another state or country.”

Part-time means having moved in or out and having residency in another state during the tax year. The Filing Requirements Chart determines if there is need to file a state income tax return.

Residents of the state must file income tax returns each year, per the requirement chart.

The post Auditor’s report discovers hundreds of state employees with outdated W-2 | North Carolina appeared first on www.thecentersquare.com



Note: The following A.I. based commentary is not part of the original article, reproduced above, but is offered in the hopes that it will promote greater media literacy and critical thinking, by making any potential bias more visible to the reader –Staff Editor.

Political Bias Rating: Centrist

The content primarily reports on a factual event, detailing the discovery of out-of-state addresses on W-2 forms by the North Carolina Auditor’s office. It provides an explanation of the findings, offers an official recommendation for improved employee address verification, and clarifies tax residency rules. The tone and language are neutral and factual, without any discernible political or ideological bias. The article does not advocate for a particular political stance but instead focuses on reporting an issue and offering a corrective recommendation. As such, it adheres to a neutral, informational approach with no overt political positioning.

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