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CA gas could hit $8.44 per gallon in 2026 due to refinery closures, regulations | California

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www.thecentersquare.com – Kenneth Schrupp – (The Center Square – ) 2025-05-06 14:45:00

(The Center Square) – A new analysis has found California gasoline prices could rise to $8.44 per gallon by the end of 2026 after the pending closure of two refineries — one-fifth of the state’s refining capacity — and the onset of new state regulations. 

California gas prices are the nation’s highest, at $4.78 per gallon for regular-grade gasoline Tuesday, per AAA

The new study from University of Southern California professor Michael A. Mische examined California’s historical gas prices, oil supply and refining capacity, and modeled the likely impact of refinery closures and costly new fossil fuel and refinery fees and regulations. 

“The shutdown of the two California-based refineries could possibly place the Golden State in a precarious economic situation and create a gasoline deficit potentially ranging from 6.6 million to 13.1 million gallons a day, as defined by the shortfall between consumption and production,” wrote Mische. “Reductions in fuel supplies of this magnitude will resonate throughout multiple supply chains affecting production, costs, and prices across many industries such as air travel, food delivery, agricultural production, manufacturing, electrical power generation, distribution, groceries and healthcare.”

“Based on current demand and consumption assumptions and estimates, the combined consequences of the 2025 Phillips 66 refinery closure and the April 2026 Valero refinery closure, together with the potential impact of legislative actions such as, but not limited to, the new LCFS standard, increase in excise taxes, Cap and Trade, SBX1-2, and ABX2-1, the estimated average consumer price of regular gasoline could potentially increase by as much as 75% from the April 23, 2025, price of $4.816 to $7.348 to $8.435 a gallon by calendar year end 2026,” continued Mische. 

Mische said the high delta between California gas prices and that of other states is the result of state taxes and fees, and policies that have reduced in-state oil production and refining capacity faster than gasoline demand has fallen.

“Over the last 30 to 50 years, the California state excise tax on gasoline has increased by 253%, the number of motor vehicles has grown by 38%, and our population has increased by 24%,” Mische wrote. “Meanwhile, the number of refineries has declined by 56%, in-state oil field production has fallen by 63%, finished gasoline stocks have declined by 98%, in-state daily refinery capacity has decreased by 36%, average gasoline prices for all formulations have gone up by 253%, and imports of non-U.S. foreign oil increased 712%.

“Concurrently, a series of regulatory costs that have been layered onto refiners, distributors, and local operators have had a compounding effect on retail prices at the pump,” Mische said.

California regulators last year approved a new Low Carbon Fuel Standard, which requires producers of fuels that are more carbon-intensive than a rising standard to buy credits from producers of fuels that are less carbon-intensive than the standard.

The state says the program will increase fuel costs by $162 billion through 2046, while creating $105 billion in electric vehicle charging credits and $8 billion of hydrogen credits. 

Most home EV charger purchasing agreements require homeowners to surrender their LFCS credits to the charger’s producer, meaning while homeowners pay for the chargers, energy and property to charge at, charger sellers will get the credits. 

Senate Bill X1-2, which set a maximum profit margin for refiners, and Assembly Bill X2-1, which allows the state to set minimum inventory requirements for refineries and have final say over when refineries are allowed to shut down for essential maintenance, were called for by California Gov. Gavin Newsom. The bills passed during a special legislative session last year convened by Newsom for the sole purpose of passing refinery regulations. 

Chevron and the governors of Arizona and Nevada, a Democrat and a Republican respectively, all warned the two bills would create fuel shortages and raise prices for Americans all across the region, as parts of the two states rely on California refineries for their fuel. In February, gas prices spiked across the region as California regulators blocked a refinery’s repairs for nearly two weeks after a fire erupted as the refinery prepared to shut down for essential maintenance.

In a late April letter, Newsom called on the California Energy Commission to “work closely with refiners on short- and long-term planning, including through high-level, immediate engagement, to help ensure that Californians continue to have access to a safe, affordable, and reliable supply of transportation fuels, and that refiners continue to see the value in serving the California market.”

California Republicans have responded by calling for Newsom to take immediate action to reverse his own regulations, and not pass the buck instead of waiting months for a report from the CEC.

“Your recent letter asked the CEC to provide recommendations by July 1 on how ‘refiners can profitably operate in California,’” wrote state Sen. Minority Leader Brian Jones, R-San Diego, in a letter. “But we do not have the luxury of time to wait for another report while closures proceed and prices climb.”

“Rather than relying on a lengthy bureaucratic process, I strongly urge you to work directly with California’s fuel producers and find immediate solutions that prevent further closures and ensure long-term energy stability,” continued Jones. “A few ideas worth exploring could include investment tax credits, and temporary or permanent relief from certain taxes and regulations.”

The post CA gas could hit $8.44 per gallon in 2026 due to refinery closures, regulations | California appeared first on www.thecentersquare.com



Note: The following A.I. based commentary is not part of the original article, reproduced above, but is offered in the hopes that it will promote greater media literacy and critical thinking, by making any potential bias more visible to the reader –Staff Editor.

Political Bias Rating: Center-Right

The article primarily reports on the potential economic and supply impacts of refinery closures and state regulations on California gasoline prices. It presents analysis from a university professor, references state policies, legislative actions, and includes statements from both Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom and Republican leaders. However, the language and framing lean toward highlighting the negative consequences of environmental regulations and state taxes, suggesting a viewpoint sympathetic to critics of these policies. The article emphasizes rising costs, shortages, and economic challenges linked to regulatory measures, which is a perspective often associated with a center-right bias. Despite this, it maintains a largely factual tone by quoting various stakeholders and presenting data, but the focus and contextual framing indicate a center-right ideological slant.

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WATCH: Hegseth, Caine tout Iran strike success, criticize leaks | National

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www.thecentersquare.com – Andrew Rice – (The Center Square – ) 2025-06-26 08:17:00


Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and Gen. Dan Caine praised the U.S. military’s successful strike on Iran’s Fordow nuclear site, calling it a historic, complex operation directed by President Trump. B-2 bombers dropped 12 Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP) 30,000-pound bombs, designed to penetrate deeply buried facilities, hitting ventilation shafts and destroying the main complex. The operation took 15 years of intelligence and bomb development. While they declined to assess damage details, blaming the CIA for evaluations, both denied reports uranium was removed before the strike, attributing leaked intelligence to political motives. Trump confirmed activity was concrete work on ventilation shaft caps, not uranium removal.

(The Center Square) – Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine touted the United States’ early success against Iranian nuclear sites in a news conference.

“President Trump directed the most complex and secretive military operation in history, and it was a resounding success, resulting in a ceasefire agreement and the end of the 12-day war,” Hegseth said.

Hegseth and Caine celebrated the strikes, but referred assessments of the damage to Iran’s nuclear site to the intelligence community, including the CIA. 

“What the United States military did was historic,” Hegseth said.

Caine said the strike against Iran with 30,000-pound “bunker buster” bombs included 15 years of intelligence assessments on Fordow, Iran’s nuclear site, and many tests of the bomb. He said the United States developed the bombs with Iran’s nuclear facilities in mind.

“Operation Midnight Hammer was the culmination of those 15 years of incredible work, the air crews, the tanker crews, the weapons crews that built the weapons, the load crews that loaded it,” Caine said.

Caine said the military targeted two ventilation shafts in Iran’s Fordow nuclear site. He said Iranians tried to cover the ventilation shafts with concrete caps.

“The cap was forcibly removed by the first weapon, and the main shaft was uncovered,” Caine said.

Caine said the next five bombs were meant to go through the opened shaft and explode the main complex at 1,000 feet per second. Another six hit the other shaft.

“The weapons functioned as designed, meaning they exploded,” Caine said.

B-2 bombers dropped 12 “bunker buster” at Iran’s nuclear site. The bombs weigh as much as a semi-truck and can penetrate up to 200 feet underground.

The U.S. military spent about $400 million to design and produce 20 such bombs for the U.S. Air Force. The 30,000-pound bomb is called GBU-57, or Massive Ordnance Penetrator, or for short, simply MOP. MOP was designed to “attack hard and deeply-buried facilities.”

All 12 MOPs hit their targets, Caine said. 

“Unlike a normal surface bomb, you won’t see an impact crater because they’re designed to deeply bury and then function,” he said. “All six weapons at each vent at Fordow went exactly where they were intended to go.”

Caine warned adversary nations that the United States is working on the same kinds of operations against targets in other countries.

“Our adversaries around the world should know that there are other [Defense Threat Reduction Agency members] out there studying targets for the same amount of time, and will continue to do so,” Caine said.

While Caine and Hegseth lauded the operation, they declined to offer specifics on the damage assessment, referring it to CIA reports.

“The Joint Force does not do [Battle Damage Assessments],” Caine said. “By design, we don’t grade our own homework, the intelligence community does.”

Hegseth and Caine declined to comment on reports that uranium was moved from Iran’s nuclear site before the United States attacked.

“There’s nothing that I’ve seen that suggests we didn’t hit exactly what we wanted to hit in those locations,” Hegseth said.

He said leaked intelligence that the operation only set Iran’s nuclear program back by two months was motivated by “political purposes.”

“Someone had an agenda to try to muddy the waters and make it look like this strike wasn’t successful,” Hegseth said. 

Reporters asked about satellite imagery showing trucks moving material, possible enriched uranium out of Fordow before the attacks. Hegseth said he had no credible information to support that assessment. 

President Donald Trump said the imagery showed work related to the recently constructed concrete caps Iranians put over the ventilation shafts.

“The cars and small trucks at the site were those of concrete workers trying to cover up the top of the shafts,” Trump wrote in a social media post. “Nothing was taken out of facility. Would take too long, too dangerous, and very heavy and hard to move!”

The post WATCH: Hegseth, Caine tout Iran strike success, criticize leaks | National appeared first on www.thecentersquare.com



Note: The following A.I. based commentary is not part of the original article, reproduced above, but is offered in the hopes that it will promote greater media literacy and critical thinking, by making any potential bias more visible to the reader –Staff Editor.

Political Bias Rating: Right-Leaning

The article presents a clear ideological stance that leans right. It prominently features supportive comments from high-ranking U.S. military officials and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth, who praise President Trump’s military operation against Iran. The framing emphasizes the success and historic nature of the strike, while casting doubt on contrary intelligence reports by labeling them as politically motivated “muddying the waters.” The language used, such as “resounding success,” “historic,” and “incredible work,” reflects a positive tone toward the Trump administration’s military actions. Additionally, the article highlights Trump’s defense of the operation against criticism, aligning with a pro-Trump perspective. While it reports some opposing views (e.g., intelligence leaks and satellite imagery), these are quickly countered or dismissed, suggesting the article favors the official government narrative supportive of Trump and the military strike, indicating a right-leaning bias rather than neutral reportage.

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News from the South - Florida News Feed

Florida governor signs bills to provide needed mental health reforms | Florida

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www.thecentersquare.com – By Steve Wilson | The Center Square – (The Center Square – ) 2025-06-25 15:09:00


Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis signed Senate Bills 1620 and 168, aiming to reform behavioral health services and aid mentally ill individuals in the criminal justice system. SB1620, sponsored by Sen. Darryl Rouson, standardizes mental health assessments, improves discharge planning, ensures access to injectable medications, reviews telehealth availability, and supports behavioral health worker training. SB168, the Tristan Murphy Act, sponsored by Sen. Jennifer Bradley, mandates mental and physical screenings for inmates in work programs and detainees, enabling diversion to mental health facilities. DeSantis emphasized addressing mental health issues to improve public safety and reduce criminal justice burdens.

(The Center Square) – Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis signed a pair of bills on Wednesday designed to bring reforms to the state’s behavioral health apparatus and assist with the mentally ill in the criminal justice system.

The second-term GOP governor signed Senate Bills 1620 and 168 in a ceremony in Tampa. 

SB1620 implements some of the key recommendations by the Florida Commission on Mental Health and Substance Use Disorder. The measure will standardize clinical mental health assessments used by providers and school mental health programs; improves discharge planning from treatment facilities; requires plans to address access to long-lasting injectable medications for the mentally ill; mandates biennial reviews of telehealth availability with a focus on rural; and underserved areas and supports new training programs and stipends for behavioral health workers. 

SB1620 was sponsored by Sen. Darryl Rouson, D-St. Petersburg, who was honored by the governor on his legislative work on substance abuse and mental health by having the University of South Florida’s behavioral health services research institute named in his honor. 

“I’ll never forget 27 years, three months ago when I woke up in the Hanley-Hazelden treatment facility and the day I asked for help,” said Rouson, a recovering addict. “The hopelessness, the loneliness, the anger, the fear, the rage, the bottom became my gift of desperation. I became desperate to change and whether I believed I could or whether I couldn’t, I knew I was right. I’m very honored to be here today.”

Rouson also said that he told then-Senate President Kathleen Passidomo, who appointed him to lead the Florida Commission on Mental Health and Substance Use Disorder in 2021, that he didn’t want to help author a report that would gather dust on a shelf, but do something that would lead to real, lasting change.

He also said SB1620 turns thoughtful recommendations by the commission into real policy and would help keep Florida a leader at treating people with mental illness and addiction. 

SB168, sponsored by Sen. Jennifer Bradley, R-Fleming Island, is known as the Tristan Murphy Act. It was named after Murphy, a victim of suicide in 2021 at a state correctional facility work program during a mental health episode. 

“We talk about a lot of issues in Tallahassee, but mental health is a messy issue. It’s a difficult issue,” Bradley said. “It’s an issue that is hard to move the ball meaningfully because it takes a lot of resources, it involves the criminal justice system and our sheriffs on the ground. It involves our providers.”

The bill requires the state Department of Corrections to provide physical and mental screenings for inmates eligible for work assignments and allows screening within 24 hours for people detained by law enforcement for a crime. This can allow them to be diverted to a mental health facility instead. 

“And I think if you talk to a lot of people in law enforcement, and obviously you have a lot of really dangerous criminals, they just need to be kept off the street,” DeSantis said. “But a lot of people that interact with the justice system, the root cause is not that they’re bad people trying to harm others, it’s that they’ve got a lot of mental health problems that are leading to behavior that is antisocial, and so to the extent that we can do that and identify that and potentially provide solutions for that, that’s going to ultimately be better for taxpayers, it’ll be better for the entire justice system, and it’ll be better for the safety of our community.”

The post Florida governor signs bills to provide needed mental health reforms | Florida appeared first on www.thecentersquare.com



Note: The following A.I. based commentary is not part of the original article, reproduced above, but is offered in the hopes that it will promote greater media literacy and critical thinking, by making any potential bias more visible to the reader –Staff Editor.

Political Bias Rating: Centrist

The article primarily reports on recent legislative actions taken by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and state senators from both parties concerning behavioral health reforms. It presents facts about the bills, shares quotes from legislators representing both the Democratic and Republican parties, and explains the intent and impact of the policies without using emotionally charged language or editorializing. The tone remains neutral, simply informing readers about the bipartisan efforts in mental health and criminal justice reform, thus reflecting balanced, factual reporting rather than promoting a particular ideological stance.

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Mississippi News Video

100 GW of new power projects await connection for MISO | Louisiana

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www.thecentersquare.com – By Nolan McKendry | The Center Square – (The Center Square – ) 2025-06-25 14:43:00


The Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) has 100 gigawatts of electricity generation awaiting connection approval, with 36 GW in the South region, including Louisiana—20 GW from solar. MISO’s report warns of a needed 3.1 GW new capacity beyond current commitments to meet reliability targets, or risk outages during peak demand. Rapid industrial growth, including major data centers and plants in Louisiana, is driving demand increases. Entergy Louisiana plans grid upgrades and demand-response programs to manage load and avoid rate hikes. Energy storage projects and new transmission lines offer promising solutions, though gas projects face delays and transmission accreditation processes are evolving.

(The Center Square) − According to the latest data from the Midcontinent Independent System Operator, there are currently 100 gigawatts of electricity generation awaiting connection approval across its footprint — including 36 gigawatts in the South region alone, which includes Louisiana.

Of the 36 GW sitting in MISO’s queue for their South region, 20 GW is is generated from solar.

The grid operator’s latest resource adequacy report warns that at least 3.1 gigawatts of new capacity will be needed beyond what’s already committed to meet reliability targets in the next several years. Without it, the risks of outages during extreme weather or peak demand events will grow.

“MISO’s projected capacity shortfall is meaningful, but there are a ton of tools to fix the problem,” said Casey Baker, a senior program manager at GridLab. “For context, 3.1 gigawatts is only about 2–3% of MISO’s total peak load. It’s significant in the energy world, but not unprecedented.”

Baker pointed out that other grid operators face even steeper challenges.

“ERCOT (Electric Reliability Council of Texas), for example, is forecasting a 75% increase in peak load by 2035 — that’s an increase of roughly 65 gigawatts. MISO is in good shape.”

MISO is facing mounting pressure to expand its electricity capacity as demand surges across its 15-state footprint, including Louisiana.

Rapid growth in energy-intensive industries, data centers, and electric vehicle adoption has accelerated the need for new power resources, with MISO warning that “immediate action” is needed to avoid future capacity shortfalls.

A key driver of this surge is Louisiana’s booming industrial sector. Entergy Louisiana alone has submitted more than $3 billion in grid upgrades to accommodate new facilities, including Meta’s $800 million data center in Richland Parish and Hyundai’s massive new steel plant in Ascension Parish.

In Louisiana, the demand spike could translate into higher costs without sufficient grid upgrades. Entergy Louisiana has forecast several potential rate hikes tied to various projects including the Hyundai facility.

To help manage the load, Entergy has proposed several new transmission lines and substations, as well as a series of demand-response programs aimed at reducing strain during peak hours.

These include smart thermostat incentives, EV charging programs, and large-scale commercial demand response agreements. Entergy estimates these programs could cut demand by 95 megawatts within two years, and up to 155 megawatts in five years.

“While a 100 MW solar plant does not provide 100 MW of resource adequacy benefit, there is a lot of opportunity for MISO utilities to rapidly expand their generation portfolios and meet this growing need,” GridLab’s Casey Baker told The Center Square.

And the pace of connecting new generation remains a hurdle.

While gas generation is one potential solution, supply chain constraints mean that few gas projects in MISO’s queue are likely to come online before 2030. Of the 18 gigawatts of gas submitted in the latest queue window, none have even begun the required grid impact studies.

Meanwhile, energy storage presents one of the most promising short-term solutions. Another 3 gigawatts of energy storage sits in MISO’s Surplus Interconnection Queue, a separate fast-track process that allows projects to connect within 12 to 18 months — far quicker than the typical multi-year process for new generation.

Energy storage refers to technologies—most commonly large-scale batteries—that can store electricity when supply is high and release it when demand is high or when other power sources aren’t available.

To visualize the space needed for batteries, Baker mentions a Florida project that fits 400 megawatts of storage on 40 acres. Expanding that to 4 gigawatts for MISO would need about 800 acres total — spread across the entire region.

Alternatively, a single high-voltage transmission project, such as the proposed Grain Belt Express, could deliver 5 gigawatts of power from other regions — enough to address the projected shortfall outright. However, MISO currently lacks a formal process to accredit transmission lines as a capacity resource, though that is under development, according to Baker.

The post 100 GW of new power projects await connection for MISO | Louisiana appeared first on www.thecentersquare.com



Note: The following A.I. based commentary is not part of the original article, reproduced above, but is offered in the hopes that it will promote greater media literacy and critical thinking, by making any potential bias more visible to the reader –Staff Editor.

Political Bias Rating: Centrist

The article provides a factual and balanced report on the current and projected electricity capacity challenges faced by the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) and the associated impacts in Louisiana. It presents data and expert commentary without endorsing any particular political or ideological viewpoint. The language is neutral and focused on explaining the technical and economic aspects of grid capacity, infrastructure needs, and potential solutions such as solar energy, gas generation, and energy storage. The coverage does not promote or criticize specific policies, political actors, or ideologies, but rather emphasizes practical challenges and responses in the energy sector, adhering to an objective, informational tone typical of neutral reporting.

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