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AI helps lighten the load on the electric grid – without skimping on people’s energy use

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theconversation.com – Zoltan Nagy, Assistant Professor of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, The of at Austin – 2024-08-07 07:34:33

Smart thermostats, batteries and AI could give people the best of both worlds: comfort and efficiency.

RgStudio/E+ via Getty Images

Zoltan Nagy, The University of Texas at Austin

My colleagues and I have developed an artificial intelligence system that helps buildings shift their energy use to times when the electric grid is cleaner.

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I’m an engineer who studies and develops smart buildings. My lab created Merlin, which learns how people use energy in their homes and adjust energy controls like thermostats to meet their needs while at the same time minimizing the impact on the grid. The system can learn on one set of buildings and occupants and be used in buildings with different controls and energy use patterns.

We dubbed it Merlin after King Arthur’s legendary magician to reflect the magical nature of the system: It automatically collects data on how people use energy in their homes and identifies opportunities to charge and discharge home battery storage. And it does so in a way that you always have power for whatever you need. So your conditioning is always available, but at the same time it reduces the strain on the grid – for example, during afternoon peaks.

If demand outstrips the available generation, utilities typically ask customers to adjust their thermostats and otherwise reduce their loads. If that’s not sufficient, blackouts are possible. This is where Merlin in. By managing energy use in homes more intelligently, Merlin helps balance the energy supply, making electric grids more stable and reliable. Merlin manages the grid’s use of the home’s battery while maintaining the home’s normal consumption of energy.

Why it matters

To address climate change, society needs to transition to generating electrical power exclusively using nonfossil fuel sources like solar, wind and nuclear. Also, all household appliances, or end uses – heating, cooking, clothes-drying – must be electrified. A similar transition is with cars, moving from internal combustion engine vehicles to battery electric vehicles. However, most renewable energy sources are non-dispatchable, meaning power companies can’t just turn them on when needed.

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This requires a fundamental shift from a centralized energy system where a power plant generates all needed electricity, to a more decentralized or distributed one. In decentralized , power is generated at the edges of the grid – for example, in homes with solar panels – and homes and office buildings can store energy in batteries.

Homes and office buildings also actively try to reduce or shift their loads to reduce their demands on the grid. This means fewer blackouts and less wasted energy. Plus, using energy more efficiently helps reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

a box mounted on a wall with wires coming out of the bottom

Battery storage is a key element of mating smart homes with smart grid management.

Jens Büttner/picture alliance via Getty Images

What other research is being done

Researchers are working on various ways to make buildings smarter and better at shifting their energy use. In fact, the U.S. Energy Department has created a national road map to develop such grid-interactive efficient buildings to triple the energy efficiency and energy demand flexibility of buildings by 2030. In 2021, the department funded 10 projects of public-private partnerships with its Connected Communities program to develop and test technologies for grid-interactive buildings.

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The International Energy Agency has supported a variety of programs in which researchers are working on software applications to enable smarter building operation, energy-flexible buildings and, more recently, grid-integrated control of buildings.

All these programs and developments focus on advanced control systems and promoting the adoption of smart technologies to optimize energy use, similar to Merlin.

What’s next

The next step is to test systems like Merlin in more communities under realistic conditions, and understand how well they work in different places and conditions. It is important that we gather feedback about users’ experiences and integrate them into our next prototypes to ensure the acceptability of AI systems managing people’s home energy. We are aiming to make these systems user-friendly and affordable so that everyone can benefit from smarter, greener homes.

The goal is for every neighborhood to have homes that share energy like a team, always making sure there’s enough power for everyone and using as little of it as possible from the grid.

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The Research Brief is a short take on interesting academic work.The Conversation

Zoltan Nagy, Assistant Professor of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, The University of Texas at Austin

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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The Conversation

New FDA rule will ensure all women have more information after cancer screenings

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theconversation.com – Nancy Kressin, Emeritus Professor of Medicine, Boston University – 2024-09-09 07:24:09

Breast density raises the risk of breast cancer and can also make it more difficult for breast cancer to be detected.
picture alliance/Getty Images

Nancy Kressin, Boston University; Christine M. Gunn, Dartmouth College; Priscilla J. Slanetz, Boston University, and Tracy A. Battaglia, Yale University

The Food and Drug Administration implemented a rule to go into effect on Sept. 10, 2024, requiring mammography facilities to notify women about their breast density. The goal is to ensure that women nationwide are informed about the risks of breast density, advised that other imaging tests might find cancers and urged to with their doctors about next steps based on their individual situation.

The FDA originally issued the rule on March 10, 2023, but extended the implementation date to give mammography facilities additional time to adhere.

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The Conversation U.S. asked a team of experts in social science and patients’ health behaviors, health policy, radiology and primary care and health services research to explain the FDA’s new regulations about these health communications and what women should consider as they decide whether to pursue additional imaging tests, often called supplemental screening.

What is breast density and why does it matter?

Breast density is categorized into four categories: fatty, scattered tissue, heterogeneously dense or extremely dense.

Dense breasts are composed of more fibrous, connective tissue and glandular tissue – meaning glands that produce milk and tubes that carry it to the nipple – than fatty tissue. Because fibroglandular tissue and breast masses both look white on mammographic images, greater breast density makes it more difficult to detect cancer. Nearly half of all American women are categorized as dense breasts.

Having dense breasts also increases the risk of getting breast cancer, though the reason for this is unknown.

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Because of this, decisions about breast cancer screening get more complicated. While evidence is clear that regular mammograms save lives, additional testing such as ultrasound, MRI or contrast-enhanced mammography may be warranted for women with dense breasts.

What does the new FDA rule say?

The FDA now requires specific language to ensure that all women receive the same “accurate, complete and understandable breast density information.” After a mammogram, women must be informed:

– Whether their breasts are dense or not dense

– That having dense breasts increases the risk of breast cancer

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– That having dense breasts makes it harder to find breast cancer on mammograms

– That for those with dense breasts, additional imaging tests might help find cancer

They must also be advised to discuss their individual situation with their health care provider, to determine which, if any, additional screening might be indicated.

A female doctor holds a breast model up, explaining it to her patient, with a mammogram image in the background.
Conversations between and doctors are crucial for determining whether supplemental screening would be beneficial.
PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images

Why did the FDA issue the new rule?

Prior to the federal rule, 38 U.S. states required some form of breast density notification. But some states had no notification requirements, and among the others there were many inconsistencies that raised concerns by advocates, women with dense breasts whose advanced cancer had not been detected on a mammogram.

The FDA standardized the information women must receive. It is written at an eighth grade reading level and may address racial and literacy-level differences in women’s knowledge about breast density and reactions to written notifications.

Advertisement

For instance, our research team found disproportionately more confusion and anxiety among women of color, those with low literacy and women for whom English was not their first language. And some women with low literacy reported decreased future intentions to undergo mammographic screening.

What is the value of additional screening?

Standard mammograms use X-rays to produce two-dimensional images of the breast. A newer type of mammography imaging called tomosynthesis produces 3D images, which find more cancers among women with dense breasts. So, researchers and doctors generally agree that women with dense breasts should undergo tomosynthesis screening when available.

There is still limited scientific evidence to guide recommendations for supplemental breast screening beyond standard mammography or tomosynthesis for women with dense breast tissue. Data shows that supplemental screening with ultrasound, MRI or contrast-enhanced mammography may detect additional cancers, but there are no prospective studies confirming that such additional screening saves more lives.

So far, there is no data from randomized clinical trials showing that supplemental breast MRIs, the most often-recommended supplemental screening, reduce from breast cancer.

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However, more early stage – but not late-stage – cancers are found with MRIs, which may require less extensive surgery and less chemotherapy.

Various professional and experts interpret the available data about supplemental screening differently, arriving at different conclusions and recommendations. An important consideration is the woman’s individual level of risk, since emerging evidence suggests that women whose personal risk of developing breast cancer is high are most likely to benefit from supplemental screening.

Some organizations have concluded that current evidence is too limited to make a recommendation for supplemental screening, or they do not recommend routine use of supplemental screening for women based solely on breast density. Others recommend additional screening for women with extremely or heterogeneously dense breasts, even when their risk is at the intermediate level.

What should women consider about added screening?

Because personal risk of breast cancer is a crucial consideration in deciding whether to undergo supplemental screening, women should understand their own risk.

Advertisement

The American College of Radiology recommends that all women undergo risk assessment by age 25. Women and their providers can use risk calculators such as Tyrer-Cuzick, which is free and available online.

Women should also understand that breast density is only one of several risks for breast cancer, and some of the others can be modified. Engaging in regular physical activity, maintaining a healthy weight, limiting alcohol use and eating a healthy diet rich in vegetables can all decrease breast cancer risk.

Are there potential harms?

Amid the debate about the benefits of supplemental breast screening, there is less discussion about its possible harms. Most common are false alarms: results that suggest a finding of cancer that require follow-up testing. Less commonly, a biopsy is needed, which may to short-term fear and anxiety, medical bills or potential complications from interventions.

Supplemental screening can also lead to overdiagnosis and overtreatment – the small risk of identifying and treating a cancer that would have never posed a problem.

Advertisement

MRI screening also involves use of a chemical substance called gadolinium to improve imaging. Although tiny amounts of gadolinium are retained in the body, the FDA considers the contrast agent to be safe when given to patients with normal kidney function.

MRIs may also identify incidental findings outside the breast – such as in the lungs – that warrant additional concern, testing and cost. Women should consider their tolerance for such risks, relative to their desire for the of additional screening.

The out-of-pocket cost of additional screening beyond a mammogram is also a consideration; only 29 states plus the District of Columbia require insurance coverage for supplemental breast cancer screening, and only three states – New York, Connecticut and Illinois – mandate insurance coverage with no copays.

How can you learn more?

Though the FDA urges women to talk with their providers, our research found that few women have such conversations and that many providers lack sufficient knowledge about breast density and current guidelines for breast screening.

Advertisement

It’s not yet clear why, but providers receive little or no about breast density and report little confidence in their ability to counsel patients on this topic.

To address this knowledge deficit in some health care settings, radiologists, whose screening guidelines are more stringent than some other organizations, sometimes provide a recommendation for supplemental screening as part of their mammography report to the provider who ordered the mammogram.

Learning more about the topic in advance of a discussion with a provider can help a woman better understand her options.

Numerous online resources can provide more information, including the American Cancer Society, the website Dense Breast-info and the American College of Radiology.

Advertisement

Armed with information about the complexities of breast density and its impact on breast cancer screening, women can discuss their personal risk with their providers and evaluate the options for supplemental screening, with consideration of how they value the benefits and harms associated with different tests.The Conversation

Nancy Kressin, Emeritus Professor of Medicine, Boston University; Christine M. Gunn, Assistant Professor of Health Policy and Clinical Practice, Dartmouth College; Priscilla J. Slanetz, Professor of Radiology, Boston University, and Tracy A. Battaglia, Associate Director of Cancer Care Equity, Yale Cancer Center, Yale University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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The post New FDA rule will ensure all women have more information after cancer screenings appeared first on theconversation.com

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The Conversation

Found dead in the snow − how microbes can help pinpoint time of death for forensic investigations in frigid conditions

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theconversation.com – Noemi Procopio, Senior Research Fellow, School of and Policing, of Central Lancashire – 2024-09-09 07:25:01

Extreme weather conditions can make reconstructing the scene of a crime more difficult.

Nick Thompson/iStock via Getty Images Plus

Noemi Procopio, University of Central Lancashire and Lavinia Iancu, University of North Dakota

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What happens to a dead body in an extremely cold ? Does it decompose? How do these conditions affect how forensic scientists understand when the person died?

Estimating time of , also called the post-mortem interval, is a complex task. It plays an important role in forensic investigations, as it can provide critical insights into the timeline of leading up to a person’s death. This information can narrow down potential scenarios and suspects, aiding in the resolution of criminal cases.

A multitude of factors are at play at a death scene, ranging from environmental conditions to the individual’s status prior to death. Historically, scientists have estimated time of death by observing post-mortem physical and biological changes in the body, such as stiffening, fluid collection and cooling.

These methods are limited, however, by their variability and dependence on external factors. Calculating the post-mortem interval became more precise with the advent of molecular biology. But it’s still a challenging task, especially in extreme cold weather conditions. There is often a lack of obvious signs of decomposition on a frozen body during the first months after death.

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We are forensic scientists leading the forensics programs at the University of North Dakota and the University of Central Lancashire. We use molecular biology and bioinformatics to develop tools to help researchers and investigators more accurately estimate the post-mortem interval. Our recently published research in Frontiers in Microbiology found that studying the microbes involved in decomposition could predict time elapsed since death in extreme cold conditions with high accuracy.

Decomposition in cold environments

Our study took place in Grand Forks, North Dakota, one of the coldest cities in the United States, where winters are characterized by temperatures that can drop to -40 degrees Fahrenheit (-40 degrees Celsius) and high winds that can reach up to 31 miles per hour (50 kilometers per hour).

In an extremely cold environment like North Dakota’s winters, traditional methods might not be enough to understand decomposition and estimate time of death. For instance, the body cools much faster in cold conditions, which can skew estimates based on body temperature.

Barren field covered in snow under weak sunlight

The researchers set their investigation into time of death in Grand Forks, N.D., where winters can be brutal.

Lavinia Iancu, CC BY-SA

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Similarly, cold environments can delay the onset and duration of rigor mortis, or body stiffening. The of decomposition, the activity of insects and other scavengers that contribute to the breakdown of the body, can also be slowed or halted by freezing temperatures.

Snow is another important factor when investigating decomposition. It can insulate a body by trapping residual heat and raising its temperature slightly higher than the surrounding environment. This insulating effect allows the body to decompose at a slower rate compared with bodies exposed to open .

Microbes and time since death

In conditions of extreme cold, it becomes necessary to employ additional means to understand decomposition and estimate the time of death. Advanced molecular techniques, such as analyzing the microbiome, gene expression and protein degradation, can help provide valuable information about the crime scene.

Each organism has distinct microbial characteristics that act like a fingerprint. The necrobiome, a community of microbes associated with decomposing remains, plays a crucial role in decay. Specific microbes are present during different stages of decomposition, contributing to the breakdown of tissues and the recycling of nutrients. Forensic investigators can sample what microbes are living in a dead body to deduce how long ago a person died based on the makeup of the microbial population.

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Our study focused on identifying common patterns in the microbial changes that occur during decomposition in extreme cold environments. Over a period of 23 weeks, we collected and analyzed 393 samples of microbes from the inside and outside of the noses dead pigs covered in snow. Pigs decompose similarly to humans and are commonly used in forensic research. We developed models to estimate the post-mortem interval by pairing microbial genetic data with environmental data such as snow depth and outdoor temperature.

Person sticking swab in the nose of dead pig lying on its side behind a fence in the snow

The researchers collect samples from the inside and outside of the noses of dead pigs.

Lavinia Iancu, CC BY-ND

Overall, we found that the bacterial species Psychrobacter, Pseudomonas and Carnobacterium may best predict time after death in extreme winter conditions up to six months after death, with a margin of error of just over nine days.

We found that different bacterial species are most abundant at different time intervals. For example, levels of Psychrobacter increase five weeks after death and are most abundant at 10 weeks, while Pseudomonas increase between five to nine weeks and hit a peak at 18 weeks.

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Improving forensics

Death is often an unpleasant topic to bring into a conversation. But from a forensic perspective, techniques and methods to determine when someone has died can help bring justice and peace for loved ones.

Our study found that decomposition does not completely halt even in cold environments. Studying the microenvironment – the local conditions surrounding the body, including temperature, humidity and microbial activity – can reveal crucial information about the decomposition process. The key microbial species we identified served as biomarkers of death, allowing us to develop time-of-death models that researchers can use to overcome the limitations of just visually examining remains.

Microbes can become a crucial piece of the puzzle during the process of investigating a death by aiding in constructing more precise timelines, even in extreme conditions.The Conversation

Noemi Procopio, Senior Research Fellow, School of Law and Policing, University of Central Lancashire and Lavinia Iancu, Assistant Professor of Forensic Science, Director of the Forensic Science Program, University of North Dakota

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

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FDA’s new regulations underscore the complexity around screening for women with dense breasts

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theconversation.com – Nancy Kressin, Emeritus Professor of Medicine, Boston University – 2024-09-09 07:24:09

Breast density raises the risk of breast cancer and can also make it more difficult for breast cancer to be detected.

picture alliance/Getty Images

Nancy Kressin, Boston University; Christine M. Gunn, Dartmouth College; Priscilla J. Slanetz, Boston University, and Tracy A. Battaglia, Yale University

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The Food and Drug Administration implemented a rule to go into effect on Sept. 10, 2024, requiring mammography facilities to notify women about their breast density. The goal is to ensure that women nationwide are informed about the risks of breast density, advised that other imaging tests might find cancers and urged to with their about next steps based on their individual situation.

The FDA originally issued the rule on March 10, 2023, but extended the implementation date to give mammography facilities additional time to adhere.

The Conversation U.S. asked a team of experts in social science and patients’ health behaviors, health policy, radiology and primary care and health services research to explain the FDA’s new regulations about these health communications and what women should consider as they decide whether to pursue additional imaging tests, often called supplemental screening.

What is breast density and why does it matter?

Breast density is categorized into four categories: fatty, scattered tissue, heterogeneously dense or extremely dense.

Advertisement

Dense breasts are composed of more fibrous, connective tissue and glandular tissue – meaning glands that produce milk and tubes that carry it to the nipple – than fatty tissue. Because fibroglandular tissue and breast masses both look white on mammographic images, greater breast density makes it more difficult to detect cancer. Nearly half of all American women are categorized as dense breasts.

Having dense breasts also increases the risk of getting breast cancer, though the reason for this is unknown.

Because of this, decisions about breast cancer screening get more complicated. While evidence is clear that regular mammograms save lives, additional testing such as ultrasound, MRI or contrast-enhanced mammography may be warranted for women with dense breasts.

What does the new FDA rule say?

The FDA now requires specific language to ensure that all women the same “accurate, complete and understandable breast density information.” After a mammogram, women must be informed:

Advertisement

– Whether their breasts are dense or not dense

– That having dense breasts increases the risk of breast cancer

– That having dense breasts makes it harder to find breast cancer on mammograms

– That for those with dense breasts, additional imaging tests might help find cancer

Advertisement

They must also be advised to discuss their individual situation with their health care provider, to determine which, if any, additional screening might be indicated.

A female doctor holds a breast model up, explaining it to her patient, with a mammogram image in the background.

Conversations between patients and doctors are crucial for determining whether supplemental screening would be beneficial.

PonyWang/E+ via Getty Images

Why did the FDA issue the new rule?

Prior to the federal rule, 38 U.S. states required some form of breast density notification. But some states had no notification requirements, and among the others there were many inconsistencies that raised concerns by advocates, women with dense breasts whose advanced cancer had not been detected on a mammogram.

The FDA standardized the information women must receive. It is written at an eighth grade reading level and may address racial and literacy-level differences in women’s knowledge about breast density and reactions to written notifications.

Advertisement

For instance, our research team found disproportionately more confusion and anxiety among women of color, those with low literacy and women for whom English was not their first language. And some women with low literacy reported decreased future intentions to undergo mammographic screening.

What is the value of additional screening?

Standard mammograms use X-rays to produce two-dimensional images of the breast. A newer type of mammography imaging called tomosynthesis produces 3D images, which find more cancers among women with dense breasts. So, researchers and doctors generally agree that women with dense breasts should undergo tomosynthesis screening when available.

There is still limited scientific evidence to guide recommendations for supplemental breast screening beyond standard mammography or tomosynthesis for women with dense breast tissue. Data shows that supplemental screening with ultrasound, MRI or contrast-enhanced mammography may detect additional cancers, but there are no prospective studies confirming that such additional screening saves more lives.

So far, there is no data from randomized clinical trials showing that supplemental breast MRIs, the most often-recommended supplemental screening, reduce death from breast cancer.

Advertisement

However, more early stage – but not late-stage – cancers are found with MRIs, which may require less extensive surgery and less chemotherapy.

Various professional organizations and experts interpret the available data about supplemental screening differently, arriving at different conclusions and recommendations. An important consideration is the woman’s individual level of risk, since emerging evidence suggests that women whose personal risk of developing breast cancer is high are most likely to benefit from supplemental screening.

Some organizations have concluded that current evidence is too limited to make a recommendation for supplemental screening, or they do not recommend routine use of supplemental screening for women based solely on breast density. Others recommend additional screening for women with extremely or heterogeneously dense breasts, even when their risk is at the intermediate level.

What should women consider about added screening?

Because personal risk of breast cancer is a crucial consideration in deciding whether to undergo supplemental screening, women should understand their own risk.

Advertisement

The American College of Radiology recommends that all women undergo risk assessment by age 25. Women and their providers can use risk calculators such as Tyrer-Cuzick, which is free and available online.

Women should also understand that breast density is only one of several risks for breast cancer, and some of the others can be modified. Engaging in regular physical activity, maintaining a healthy weight, limiting alcohol use and eating a healthy diet rich in vegetables can all decrease breast cancer risk.

Are there potential harms?

Amid the debate about the benefits of supplemental breast screening, there is less discussion about its possible harms. Most common are false alarms: results that suggest a finding of cancer that require follow-up testing. Less commonly, a biopsy is needed, which may to short-term fear and anxiety, medical bills or potential complications from interventions.

Supplemental screening can also lead to overdiagnosis and overtreatment – the small risk of identifying and treating a cancer that would have never posed a problem.

Advertisement

MRI screening also involves use of a chemical substance called gadolinium to improve imaging. Although tiny amounts of gadolinium are retained in the body, the FDA considers the contrast agent to be safe when given to patients with normal kidney function.

MRIs may also identify incidental findings outside the breast – such as in the lungs – that warrant additional concern, testing and cost. Women should consider their tolerance for such risks, relative to their desire for the of additional screening.

The out-of-pocket cost of additional screening beyond a mammogram is also a consideration; only 29 states plus the District of Columbia require insurance coverage for supplemental breast cancer screening, and only three states – New York, Connecticut and Illinois – mandate insurance coverage with no copays.

How can you learn more?

Though the FDA urges women to talk with their providers, our research found that few women have such conversations and that many providers lack sufficient knowledge about breast density and current guidelines for breast screening.

Advertisement

It’s not yet clear why, but providers receive little or no about breast density and report little confidence in their ability to counsel patients on this topic.

To address this knowledge deficit in some health care settings, radiologists, whose screening guidelines are more stringent than some other organizations, sometimes provide a recommendation for supplemental screening as part of their mammography report to the provider who ordered the mammogram.

Learning more about the topic in advance of a discussion with a provider can help a woman better understand her options.

Numerous online resources can provide more information, including the American Cancer Society, the website Dense Breast-info and the American College of Radiology.

Advertisement

Armed with information about the complexities of breast density and its impact on breast cancer screening, women can discuss their personal risk with their providers and evaluate the options for supplemental screening, with consideration of how they value the benefits and harms associated with different tests.The Conversation

Nancy Kressin, Emeritus Professor of Medicine, Boston University; Christine M. Gunn, Assistant Professor of Health Policy and Clinical Practice, Dartmouth College; Priscilla J. Slanetz, Professor of Radiology, Boston University, and Tracy A. Battaglia, Associate Director of Cancer Care Equity, Yale Cancer Center, Yale University

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Read More

The post FDA’s new regulations underscore the complexity around screening for women with dense breasts appeared first on .com

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